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A pick-me-up for anyone bummed Bush's ratings aren't lower

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diplomats Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-03 10:19 AM
Original message
A pick-me-up for anyone bummed Bush's ratings aren't lower
I know someone had a thread about that Quinnipiac poll that had Bush at 53 percent (same as in July) and with a lead of 10 points or more against any Dem challlenger. Well, I just checked out the latest poll from http://www.democracycorps.com which polls likely voters (Quinnipiac surveys registered voters). His approval rating also is 53 percent, but that's his lowest ever, and his disapproval rating is 44 percent, his highest ever. That means the gap between approval and disapproval is just 9 points, which is not much at all, folks. More importantly, the percentage who strongly approve and strongly disapprove are the same, 34 percent, so anti-Bush people are just as energized as wingnuts. And the race between Bush and a generic Dem is essentially a tie, 47 to 45 percent.
As soon as we get close to picking a nominee the gap with Bush will narrow, and as the election approaches people will start paying attention to the economy, more than they are now. My point is, we have a struggle ahead of us but there is a very real possibility we can win this thing.
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E_Zapata Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-03 10:26 AM
Response to Original message
1. It's simple: who is policing the polls?
I would give the polls a margin of error of -25%.

I have to believe that if the election were today - regardless of the dem nominee -- that Bush would not take more than 35% of the popular vote. (Paper ballots, hand counted)
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Terwilliger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-03 10:26 AM
Response to Original message
2. and a very real possibility that you could lose
so I hope you Democrats have a clear idea of what works and what doesn't
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diplomats Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-03 10:34 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Of course we could lose
Edited on Wed Sep-17-03 10:39 AM by diplomats
but months ago that seemed a certainty.
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Patriot_Spear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-03 10:35 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Another GreenOP Party Member heard from...
Everyone knows where you stand Teri- why do you bother?

I hope your cold is better by the way.
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UTUSN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-17-03 11:55 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Kick for Hope n/t
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