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Maybe, just maybe the "eight of the best G.O.P. pollsters and strategists" from the NY Times op-ed are wrong. First of all, I think they're wrong to characterize Dean as an extreme liberal. I think Lieberman, Kerry, and company are wrong along with them. I think the Republican and Democratic party establishments are wrong. I think they're out of touch.
Dean's perceived extreme liberalness is based entirely on his opposition to war with Iraq (and his opposition can easily and briefly summarized as opposition to the RUSH to war with Iraq, opposition to LYING to rush to war with Iraq, etc.).
From there, he's the most fiscally conservative candidate or prospective candidate that either Democratic or Republican parties have to offer. He's the only Democrat that is a strong supporter of gun rights. He's a reluctant supporter--a supporter nonetheless--of capital punishment. Given those three distinctions altogether (some other Democratic candidates support capital punishment, but I don't know that any are with him on all three counts), he's to the so- called right of all the other Democratic alternatives, even perhaps including Wesley Clark.
Dean IS pro-choice and gay/lesbian friendly, which merely puts him with all the other Democrats, including Clark, on those issues.
All in all, though, I think the DLC, Lieberman, Kerry, and other establishment Dems, and the Republican party establishment, including these "eight ... best G.O.P. pollsters and strategists," are being awfully myopic, and it could cost the Democratic establishment, and it could cost the Republican establishment.
It could cost the Democratic establishment in that: They could cannibalize Dean out of the race, and they could wind up with a Lieberman or Kerry or other establishment nominee, THINKING that they've got their more palatable and ostensibly electable nominee going up against Bush, when in fact--from a grassroots, middle- American perspective--all they've given voters is another bland and, more to the point, stereotypically LIBERAL candidate who will be easier for Rove to ridicule and villify. He can say, "Look, here's a guy who was with us on the whole Iraq thing, and even likes a lot of our tax cuts; from there, all he has to offer that's different is his liberalism." And Rove will promptly proceed to kick the Democrat's ass.
It can cost the Republican establishment in that: If Dean DOES survive the Democratic nonsense and becomes the nominee, then the Republicans are actually facing the one guy who could carve some inroads into at least SOME of those red states on the big electoral board, precisely because he's a fiscal conservative AND--more importantly than establishment pols understand--he's pro-gun-rights. I tells ya, that resonates so much louder than professional, establishment Democrats understand. It resonates so much louder than political pundits understand.
Most independents I know don't necessarily hate Bush the way Democrats do, but they're definitely NOT devotees, and they're definifitely more objective about the course of the country than Republicans. (And to think that we'll woo very many Republicans away from Bush--as Lieberman and others seem to think--is simply delusional, and not only is it delusional, they're not even close to being the Democrats who could do it. Dean, on the other hand, IS.) I think urban and/or left-leaning independents are just gonna go Democratic in 2004 anyway. As for rural independents, right-leaning independents, and some left-leaning independents who, are lefties packin' heat--they're much more inclined to go for a guy like Dean who supports gun rights (which, I'm tellin' ya, people, is HUGE in middle America and in those red states).
On reflection, it may actually be that Rove and those "eight ... best G.O.P. pollsters and strategists" DO INDEED understand how dangerous Dean is, and are simply goosing the DLC and establishment Democrats with reverse psychology. Dean is in fact NOT the guy they want. This is really their way of saying, "GIVE us Lieberman. GIVE us Kerry. GIVE us Edwards. PLEASE!"
Take note of how the right wing media--all corporate cable news networks--keep slamming Dean over the insignificant Trent Lott line. Take note of how they claim that someone cannot be a straight-talker and a flexible pragmatist at the same time. Hell, don't blame me if you are too much of a mental midget to see that the two things are compatible.
Ok, now for the doozy: I am a Clark guy.
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