The Defence Secretary said that the US had already begun "spikes of activity" to put pressure on the regime. No decisions had been taken, but he thought the most likely timing in US minds for military action to begin was January, with the timeline beginning 30 days before the US Congressional elections.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2087-1593607_2,00.htmlIt won't surprise you to know that British people don't normally give dates among themselves relative to foreign elections. The defence secretary (Geoff Hoon, by the way - a complete waste of space, but he still has a job in Blair's cabinet) had obviously been talking to Republicans who were eager to time the invasion for their maximum electoral advantage. Suspects would be Rumsfeld, his counterpart, or maybe Rice or Cheney.
The "spikes of activity" were enthusiastically joined in by Hoon:
During 2000, RAF aircraft patrolling the southern no-fly zone over Iraq dropped 20.5 tons of bombs from a total of 155 tons dropped by the coalition, a mere 13%. During 2001 that figure rose slightly to 25 tons out of 107, or 23%.
However, between May 2002 and the second week in November, when the UN Security Council passed resolution 1441, which Goldsmith said made the war legal, British aircraft dropped 46 tons of bombs a month out of a total of 126.1 tons, or 36%.
By October, with the UN vote still two weeks away, RAF aircraft were dropping 64% of bombs falling on the southern no-fly zone.
Tommy Franks, the allied commander, has since admitted this operation was designed to “degrade” Iraqi air defences in the same way as the air attacks that began the 1991 Gulf war.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2087-1632566,00.html