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Tell me if I'm premature here, but reading the news sites, and hearing the general tone of the media, I'm getting a sense that now people believe the war is a failure.
It's been happening for a few months. People's opinions have been changing as all the news out of Iraq was about the casualties, not about an end to violence, not about triumph, or hope that things were improving. The elections in Iraq failed to make things better. The declarations by Cheney and Bush that the insurgency was fading away has not held up to the facts. People could see it was getting worse.
But most people were afraid to say Iraq was a failure. Too many lives and dollars had been spent for most people to admit that. People were starting to feel it, but weren't ready to speak it.
Then tonight, in what may turn out to be the stupidest decision since... well, since sometime in Nixon's string of self-incriminating debacles... Bush made a speech to defend our progress in Iraq, and to reassure the people that things were going well. Only, he didn't do that. Instead, he told people that we had to stay the course, that the sacrifice was worth it, that we would not be safe if we pulled out now. In other words, Bush said, almost as clearly as if he had formed the words, "Things are going bad, but I can't think of a damned thing to do to fix them."
Now people are beginning to think what they only felt before. And the transition from supporting the war to believing it is a failure is almost instantaneous.
I've always said that when people started to see through Bush's lies, they would turn on him overnight. We may be seeing it, over this night.
Am I too early to declare that? Maybe, I don't know. But the spiral has at least started, and I don't think Bush or any of his crew has what it takes to pull out of that spiral. I may be premature in my optimism, but I don't think I'm ultimately wrong. Bush is sinking. Time to throw the big rocks on top of him. The bottom is the limit.
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