To anyone bummed about the newest Zogby poll

[diplomats]

that shows Bush climbing in approval from 45 to 50 percent. Don't worry. The 45 percent rating for Bush in early September was probably an aberration when you consider he dropped 7 points in Zogby in one month (52 percent in July). So even if you remove the 45 percent figure from the trend, he's still 2 points down from July and dropping steadily. Plus, 50 percent is in line with other recent polls (50 percent - CNN/Gallup, 51 percent - Newsweek, 49 percent - NBC/WSJ).
His reelect number is way under 50 percent, and he either runs even or trails a generic Dem. And our individual candidates are edging closer. Clark is anywhere from 3 points ahead to 10 points behind, and Dean is anywhere from 3 points behind to 14 points behind. Both are tied, incidentally, in Zogby, where they trail Bush by 10. At this point in the race that's not bad at all. Kerry also trails by 10.
(BTW, one of the reasons Zogby cited for the increase was Bush's appearance before the U.N. Since that produced absolutely no permanent results, I suspect any bounce will be gone in a matter of days.)

[Beetwasher]

1. Huh? What new Zogby poll, got a link?

Thanks

[diplomats]

2. Someone posted it here

I don't have the thread but you can probably see it at
http://www.zogby.com

[im4edwards]

3. a good reason that I never focus on any one poll

they all have their bias, are subject to timing issues (the world is very small and news travels fast) and wheelbarrow ful of other reasons.

Graph all available results and look for the general trend over time. And for goodness sake don't treat them as clearly indicative of reality.

[janekat]

4. There was also a poll that showed Bush 52% Dean 38%

I'll try to dig it up...

[janekat]

5. the good news: Bush: 47% Clark: 43% n/t

[ThreeCatNight]

6. Doesn't bother me.....

9 out of 10 people think that poll numbers are made up anyway.