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Bush, Cheney, Rice and Powell knew that the Niger story was false. But they figured that Joe Average American didn't know. Somewhere I've read speculation that they latched onto the nuclear imagery because they knew it would scare people the way the run-of-the-mill WMDs couldn't. It was just too good, they couldn't let it go.
This was a carefully constructed lie that included the aluminum tubes, the uranium, Evil Saddam, mad Iraqi scientists, the killer drones that could somehow fly to the United States, and the "45 minutes" claim, that they glommed all together to form a scary threat that would stampede average Americans to war.
Judith Miller was a huge part of that and that's why she's sitting in jail not talking. There's NO WAY she goes under oath.
A lot of this Wilson attack was about timing. Wilson's article came just at the moment when the press was paying attention and questioning the "16 words". Remember, their whole defense to the "16 words" story was, "No one in our circles knew the story was false. The CIA didn't tell us." (Rice) Even though Wilson never said that Cheney sent him, his article made clear that the CIA sent him at Cheney's request, and it would only be logical that the CIA reported back to Cheney what Wilson learned in Niger. And in the week between Wilson's article and Novak's, the press was actually begining to make that connection. Russert asked Cheney about it, and Cheney had to lie baldfaced on NBC and say he had never seen any report.
(An aside: About Cheney's lies. I've always thought Cheney was a bad liar, but now I've decided there's a method to it. When he tells a lie, he shields the important lie with a huge, ridiculous, easliy disproved lie. Then the big, ridiculous lie gets all the attention, and the important lie goes unchallenged. Just my theory.)
Timing is everything when you have to "kill a story before it kills you".
The first attack on Wilson (Novak's article) was limited. It's biggest point was that Wilson's wife sent him to Niger. The main message intended by that was that the White House didn't send him. Cheney's first interview consisted of "I don't know who Joe Wilson is, and I never saw any report. The message they were trying to spread was that Cheney didn't know. Which, of course, means that Cheney DID know.
The attack on Wilson is not about killing the Niger forgery story, but about protecting Cheney and Bush from being revealed as KNOWINGLY using false information to scare Americans into supporting their war.
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