China poised for further growth
It's clear to many people today that China is poised to take over the world's manufacturing. In China today, some 18 million people enter the work force each year, with typical wages of 60 cents a day. Manufacturing workers outside of China are being displaced on a large scale; even Mexico is losing jobs to China.
The idea that Chinese workers are replacing physical labourers elsewhere has long been a given. But now China is poised to replace the world's knowledge workers as well. China is turning out 700,000 engineers a year, 37 percent of all college graduates, all trained in a university system that is rapidly growing in size and quality. Engineer pay ranges from $4,000 to $8,000 a year, plus medical costs, housing and pension. As product design becomes more network-centric and less location-dependent, competition against Western engineers will turn fierce.
According to techno-visionary George Gilder, the 1980s was the decade of the Microcosm, when rapid advancements in microprocessor technology propelled the U.S. economy; the 1990s was the decade of the Telecosm, when high-speed fiber-optic communication channels generated growth markets around the world.
Now, says Gilder, a fast-rising China is emerging as a technological powerhouse, with deep and serious implications for the U.S. and world economies.
During a recent visit to China, Gilder was most impressed with the high-pitched level of capitalistic energy he found there. Gilder describes China as "in fact the greatest opportunity in the history of capitalism." He also heaps hyperbolic praise on Communist Party chief Jiang Zemin. "In Washington, Jiang is considered a dangerous Communist," says Gilder. "Jiang is the single greatest capitalist leader of the postwar generation."
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