Heads Up - Seattle to LA -- Earthquake Warning (2- 8 week notice)

[cthrumatrix]

Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity
Until Further Notice

August 4, 2005
By Stan Deyo
Home http://standeyo.com

The August 2 RED ALERT is the first of its kind I've ever made in the 11 years of studying seismic event indicators. It is so huge that I almost can't believe my eyes. The importance and severity of this has impressed me more significantly than when I predicted and warned about the coming December 26, 2004 Indonesian events beginning December 22.

For the last 7 days, I've seen indications of a large number of earthquake pressures building across a 2,000-mile long arc in the North Pacific. At first, I thought these indications were a result of large storms so I disregarded them. Until August 2 when a listener (thanks Dan) heard my radio broadcast and emailed information to me, I wasn't able to explain the cause of this discovery.

Below you will see white arrows pointing at this arc of signals that have appeared over the last 7 days. They are heading straight into Mendocino, CA to the area where three tectonic plates meet. Notice on today's image and for 6 days preceding, the clear definition of this phenomenon. It is occurring all along the Mendocino Fault Zone or Ridge. This is a place where the sea floor rises up to within 1,203 yards of sea surface 168 miles west of Mendocino, CA. It's been the subject of a great many technical papers in the world of geology and seismicity.

In addition to the Mendocino Fault, another problematic fault, the Murray Fracture Zone, lies directly south of it and joins the Mendocino at both ends. This is where the major activity and area of concern is today.


snip

http://www.standeyo.com/Reports/041222.EQ.warning/050804.Deyo.EQs.html

He notified people of the same "water warming" before the December Sumatra quake and subsequent sanami.

[cthrumatrix]

1. "heat pressure along plates over a 2000 mile arc"...

[Walt Starr]

2. Wacko nutball site alert!

Go to the homepage and look at it. This guy's a total wack job.

[cthrumatrix]

4. I hope he is wrong.... it seems his data has predicted others

[DistressedAmerican]

7. Do You Have A Link To That Warning? Is It Just A Baseless Claim?

I want to read it before I start believing that this guy predicted anything.

[cthrumatrix]

8. Yes....here is the link ...December 22, 2004

http://www.standeyo.com/Reports/041222.EQ.warning/041222.Deyo.EQs.html

[DistressedAmerican]

11. Well, That Is At Least Something. Thanks! I Was Looking And Missed It.

[Walt Starr]

25. He was WRONG on his prediction

He predicted the earthquake more than a thousand miles from where it actually occurred and gave a large window nbased upon recent seismic activity.

I can make similar predictions right now and will be accurate.

Look at his site, he's wrong most of the time. The law of averages states he'll be right at some time.

Add to that the fact he's a rightwing nutball and his crap falls apart.

[staticstopper]

28. or maybe he's the

most sane person on the web :tinfoilhat:

*They* are sure stirring up the doom talk lately, eh?

[Richard Steele]

43. Walt. Nail. Head.

[Syncronaut Seven]

3. I'm just an amateur earthquake watcher, but

The quake maps have been hopping all week, and in interesting places. Even flakes get it right once in a while.

One doesn't need an excuse to make sure their quake kit is stocked and ready. Shoes and magnetic flashlight on the wall next to the bed are all lessons learned first hand.

[Beaverhausen]

6. you're right about having the quake kit

I slept with my purse and shoes next to my bed for years after the 1994 Northridge quake. Got out of the habit but I still always have bottled water, canned food and a flashlight handy.

gotta get the car's earthquake kit back in action.

[renate]

9. hey, Syncronaut...?

Are there any reliable websites we can check out to see whether there's anything to these predictions?
:scared: :yoiks:

[Syncronaut Seven]

15. I don't know if anyones keeping track.

Beyond the forecasters themselves. My personal theory is that all the water and oil we're sucking out of the ground has a direct relation to planetary seismicity.

[renate]

19. thanks for your reply!

I found a comforting webpage:
http://www.geophys.washington.edu/SEIS/PNSN/INFO_GENERAL/eq_prediction.html
and from there, these links:
http://geology.about.com/cs/eq_prediction/a/aa030903a.htm
http://www.geophys.washington.edu/SEIS/PNSN/INFO_GENERAL/charlatan.html
http://www.nature.com/nature/debates/earthquake/index.html

I'm still going to freshen up my 10-gallon water supply and check the batteries in the flashlight, though....

[renate]

16. trying to answer my own question

I found the US Geological Survey page about recent earthquakes, but nothing about predicting them:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/

[DistressedAmerican]

5. I Have Been Checking Out the Site. I See Nothing That Gives Me

confidence in these predictions at all.

Who's Stan Deyo? What does he supposedly know about these things?

Does not seem reputable to me.

[juajen]

10. This sounds really ominous

I have relatives on the west coast. Anyone know this man's credentials?

[cthrumatrix]

13. here is the link to his White Paper on his Methodlogy for predicting

http://standeyo.com/Reports/200309.dey_and_singh.pdf

[TWiley]

46. .

.

[TWiley]

47. I did not understand most of it,

but it seems like he has some kind of understanding on the subject that is deeper than most ordinary folks.

His obsession with topics like the rapture erode his credibility in my eyes though. Also, the disclaimer at the bottom of the page which noted that "forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys" seemed to weaken his argument.

I guess we will have to take the wait-and-see approach to this one. If he is correct, I am sure that others in his area of intrest will pick up on his efforts.

[SnowGoose]

12. Well, the beauty of this "forecast" is that it has a time-boundry.

I guess we'll find out how good his models are during the next 2 to 8 weeks.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

14. For a Creationist, who believes in the rapture and UFOs, he's purty smart.

Why, that feller can even do 3d graphics (pitchurs) on one a' them computer gizmos. He's bin blessed by the lord.

[hallc]

17. This guy is a wack job...

I took a look at his homepage - and wouldn't you know it, he has a section on faith. So I take a look at it...ya know, out of curiosity, and he's a freaking fundie with crap about the rapture and timelines and such. Weirdo.

http://standeyo.com/index1.html

[Ian David]

18. Oooh... Earthquake... Volcano... or STORM...

SOMETIME within the next 2-8 weeks...

SOMEWHERE between Los Angeles and Seattle...

Hurricane season along the most volcanically and seismically active region of the country (with Mt. St. Helens grumbling for months now) there is bound to be some kind of VOLCANIC or EARTHQUAKE or STORM activity within a 6-week period SOMEWHERE between LA and Seattle.

He's really hedging his bets, isn't he?

Can I try one?

I predict that somewhere between Boston and Miami there will be some kind of industrial accident, multiple-fatality shooting, or storm within the next 2-8 weeks.

[cthrumatrix]

20. he is precise in his prediction (maybe a wacky website for sure)

According to his seismic indicators, a zone off the Pacific is being pulled in two directions, and could culminate in pressure around Mendocino, CA, that could trigger the San Andreas fault, affecting an area as wide as Seattle to Los Angeles.


He did predict on his site (based on his methodology) the Suntra quake in December 2004.


I'm not looking to cry wolf... he has been right once so I give him a break.

[Ian David]

27. I will watch with an open mind, but...

1) It's a safe bet.

2) "a zone off the Pacific is being pulled in two directions" isn't a "prediction." It's an "observation." And if that observation is correct, it may be because someone else (say, the national geological survey, or "Microsoft Encarta") has already published it.

3) I'm not sure about his Sumatra "prediction," maybe I should look into it.

But good questions are:

1) How many times has he been wrong?

2) On the page where he "predicted" the Sumatra quake, when was the last time the page was updated? What's in the page's Google cache? What's in the Wayback Machine archive?

In any case, this is the first I've heard about this guy, so I'm happy to see more evidence and data.

Even whacked-out crazy people can come up with something honestly good.

For example, the nutjob from "Project Grizzly" seems to have come up with a legitimately ground-breaking material that could be used to protect our troop vehicles. At least, from what I have seen on TV, it looks like his invention works.

So, in short, crazy (and even stupid crazy) people can sometimes be right.

So, let's see if someone here can find proof either way if they're so inclined.


In 1996 Project Grizzly took audiences on a bizarre quest with Troy Hurtubise, a "close-quarter bear researcher" obsessed with going face-to-face with a deadly grizzly bear. Eight years after its celebrated premiere at the Toronto International Film Festival, Project Grizzly has become an international pop-culture phenomenon.

Directed by Peter Lynch and produced by The National Film Board of Canada Project Grizzly explores the territory between documentary and drama, where the dividing line between fact and imagination is as thin as a knife edge. In this twisted nature film, it is man, not bears, who come under the closest scrutiny. As a pop-culture phenomenon, Project Grizzly has gone where no Canadian documentary has gone before: Quentin Tarantino named it his favorite film of 1996, Harvard awarded Troy Hurtubise their Ig Nobel Prize in 1999 and in 2003 the ultimate compliment was paid as it was famously parodied on "The Simpsons".
More:
http://www.alcinapictures.com/reaction/film-grizzly.htm




IG NOBEL UPDATE--
Troy's Blast Cushion Stands Proud
The further adventures of Ig Nobel winner Troy Hurtubise

by Alice Shirrell Kaswell, AIR staff

<snip>

Sharpshooter says Hurtubise invention right on target
by Phil Novak
BayToday.ca
Thursday, June 24, 2004

Capt. Keith Cunningham (Ret.) tried his best this past weekend to shoot the living daylights out of Troy Hurtubise’s newest invention, the light infantry magnetic blast cushion.

But Cunningham didn’t have much success, even though he was using a scary arsenal of high-calibre rifles and ammunition.

“I was very impressed with these cushions, particularly with the way they handled the .375 bullets from my elephant gun,” said Cunningham, during an interview from his home in Burnt River, Ont.

“No matter what calibre bullet I used they just couldn’t fully penetrate the cushions.”

Herculean protection

Hurtubise designed the cushions, made with specially treated Kevlar, ceramics, metal alloys and the force-absorbing system from his Ursus Mark-VII bear suit, to shield soldiers in Afghanistan and Iraq from roadside bombs that have already claimed military lives in both countries.

More:
http://www.improb.com/news/2004/troy-cushion-2004-06.html

[Kraklen]

21. Earthquakes are impossible to predict.

We all know that they're caused by underground nuclear explosions by the PNAC.

[cthrumatrix]

22. if you read his white paper ...he talks about watching the increase

in water temperature peaking 2-7 days before the quake and how this has worked in the past.

http://standeyo.com/Reports/200309.dey_and_singh.pdf

[Kraklen]

24. That was from the movie Volcano.

With Tommy Lee Jones and pre-stroke Anne Heche.

Terrible movie.

Oh, the guy's full of shit. I've got embarassment-by-proxy that you're taking him seriously.

[UncleSepp]

26. self delete, replied in the wrong place

[Nevernose]

23. A west-coast earthquake in the next 2 months? Who could've guessed?

I predict:

a tornado will strike somewhere in the Midwest within the next two months.

a hurricane will strike the Gulf Coast within the next two months.

a blizzard will strike somewhere in the northeast US between the months of December 2005 and February 2006.

[ourbluenation]

29. I live in Mendocino County and I'm not worried at all.

This is stupid.

[dr.strangelove]

30. Thats it, I cancelled my trip to Seattle for Aug 15.

I was going up to Seattle in two weeks on a business trip, but thats off now. I'm going to try to sell the Seahaws tickets I bought right away, they will be worthless after the new stadium crumples.

[Kraklen]

31. You can send them to me.

I'll take the tickets.

[dr.strangelove]

32. THE END IS NEAR!

I think I will chance it.

[slackmaster]

33. Stan is always good for a laugh

He uses the shotgun approach to predicting events. Make enough random predictions, especially safe ones like earthquakes in seismically active areas, and you gradually build up a collection of "successes" (which look best when you don't bother mentioning the failures).

[XemaSab]

34. Here's the only *real* EQ prediction site I know of:

http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/step/

[TWiley]

49. That is a pretty intresting site.

Thanks for posting it.

[AX10]

35. How big is it going to be?

[Vinnie From Indy]

36. Does he bend spoons?

I will go out on a limb and predict that a huge fiery ball will emerge on the Eastern horizon some time tomorrow in the early am hours. This enormous ball of fire will then travel across the sky and finally disappear on the western horizon some time after 6:00p.m.

People should be advised strongly NOT to look directly into the gargantuan ball of fire as it will literally burn the retinas out of your face.

[Sparkle]

37. Some guy on Coast to Coast with George Noory was predicting

a large earthquake in California in a couple of weeks. Is this the same guy?

[OmmmSweetOmmm]

39. I don't think so, but this guy was on with George Noory last night. n/t

[Goldmund]

38. He's just praying for rapture...

[TeeYiYi]

40. There was an earthquake off the coast of Oregon yesterday . . .

. . . according to this man's site. (Easily verifiable.) http://standeyo.com/EC_News/050804.OR.EQ.4.6.html

I'm not sure why there are so many scoffers regarding this report. Even a broken clock is right twice a day. It would seem that this man has gone to a whole lot of trouble to try to warn people of what he believes to be imminent danger. His only request is that people be aware and take precautions. "At the very least, you should be sure your emergency stocks of food, water and medicines are what they should be for such an event. We will continue to monitor this situation and are already warning on radio broadcasts. It has the potential to produce enormous tidal waves throughout the Pacific Basin." Why does anyone care if he is right wing, left wing or reptilian. We'll know soon enough if he is right or wrong. In the mean time, would it hurt pay attention? I've been surprised by the number of earthquakes around the world in the past few years — especially Iran. The earthquake and subsequent tsunami that killed over 100,000 people in and around Sri Lanka was something I never expected to see in my lifetime. This person, Stan Deyo, has gone to a whole lot of trouble to provide verifiable proof of the reasoning behind his claims. His religious or political leanings are irrelevant in my humble opinion. We'll all know soon enough if his warnings bear out. If I lived on the west coast, I would sure as hell be boning up on my emergency preparedness plans. I actually live in an active fault zone in Utah County so I'll be paying attention.


TYY

[evolvenow]

41. Pay attention to the animals, they are smarter, more in tune w flux.

This area he is talking about is the same area, where there was a flipping tsunami warning, blocked out every tv/radio station recently, as there was a good sized earthquake in the ocean, not too far from the coast.

Anyone else suspect there may be drilling, who knows what else, with soooooo many earthquakes below the ocean floor?

Best to be prepared and pay attention to subtle signs, instincts, take down any heavy stuff and have extra water, food, flashlight, and extra food for your animal family.

Yep, californians know.

[Ms. K]

42. better believe it

During the last week of school, down here in Riverside County we got two earthquakes that I can think of (that would be the week of June 12-18, incidentally) right off the top of my head.

Both were sharp jolts, and both times, all four cats were hovering around us, and the dog, well, we were tripping over her continually in the 48 hour window before each quake.

Of course, every time the critters have started acting weird as hell, which is a subjective thing for cats since they're weird all the time, we've had an earthquake. So, we have learned that if the critters are freaking out, time to get ready for a quake.

And yeah, I suspect there's drilling going on, considering the number of quakes on the ocean floor recently.

*sigh* And to think, when I was growing up in Kentucky, all I had to worry about were thunderstorms and tornados....gee, look at all the FUN I missed! :sarcasm:

[evolvenow]

45. Welcome Ms. K! Glad you and your animals are OK. My birds take off minutes

before, and freak, they are fantastic, but I it is a concern as I do not want them to hurt themselves bumping into the walls. Normally, they can fly and bank, they know exactly where the walls are, as they have never been kept in cages, but right before an earthquake, they fly frantic. It feels like something is building.

Do you have any info about possible drilling affecting the ocean floor?

I think you are safer in an earthquake in CA, with precautions, than a tornado, so you made a good choice:)

It always feels like Mother Nature getting everyone's attention. If only she would shake off the war criminals, it would be such a beautiful planet.

Did you read the stories about elephants actually lifting people with their trunks, and carrying them away from shore, saving many lives? Pretty fascinating and defintely worth following. Yes, animals are the smartest people.

[Warren DeMontague]

44. He's got some interesting information about when "The Rapture" is coming

too..

I think, judging by his site, the massive earthquake will probably come before the rapture, definitely before the seventh trumpet sounds, but possibly AFTER "The Antichrist" is revealed.

No, I live in California; it's a good idea to ALWAYS be somewhat prepared for an earthquake. But I vote with Walt, I think this dude's a nutter butter.

[dbt]

48. Kick to hear the skeptics gabble some more