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Edited on Sun Aug-07-05 11:33 AM by Lexingtonian
about "rogue states" and "Axis of Evil", the Cold War simply isn't quite mopped up until the guerilla entities and alliances on both sides have been defeated or toppled or surrendered or quietly given up.
The Democratic way of doing it is relatively clean and careful and moral, but it isn't quick and it only deals with foes and minimizes American violence. Under the Clinton Administration there really was a lot of settling matters well- eliminating Soviet and post-Soviet regimes commitments- in Warsaw Pact countries and the Baltic republics and the Caucasus and the Yugoslav confederation problem. Containment of China. The EU has picked up the slack in that department since.
The Republican way of doing the job is messy, ugly, callous, and amoral. But it is quick and brutal where violence is called for. Iraq was in a selfchosen 12-year low intensity military conflict with the U.S. which was getting psychologically intolerable and morally indefensible to continue. The Clinton peoples' strategy was to bypass a lot of problem allies of the Soviets (which Hussein was) and let them wither away by internal economic and social forces and various amounts of external diplomatic/military containment and subsidizations. This deliberate bypass/political containment strategem has worked pretty well in getting other Soviet associates far from the Russian borders out of the Cold War alliances and roles- Cuba, Sudan, Angola, North Yemen, Albania, Egypt, Pakistan, Vietnam. It didn't work effectively on Iraq because Hussein had an unfortunate combination of a militaristic culture (the Sunnis), a traditionalistic population that tolerated being cut off from the world, and oil exports. (Unfortunately, Chavez is attempting to recapitulate that recipe too closely in Venezuela.) So Republicans are doing dirty work, and doing it badly, but the most recalcitrant remnants of Stalinism are being extirpated. No, they have no idea what to replace it with properly and never have; the locals simply have to figure it out for themselves.
There's also a second side to this ugly and callous way of doing this work the Republican way- it ruins obsolete alliances and regimes and fealties on the American side rather effectively. Post-Franco (i.e. post-Imperial) fascist Spain came to an end in the wake of Iraq and the new democratic socialists have made it a proper EU nation. Post-Thatcherite (i.e. post-Empire) neocolonialist Britain is dying and the consequences of the Iraq misadventure appear to be the blows that finish it off and drive it into becoming an EU nation, rather than a 'special trans-Atlantic relationship' country, also. Likewise with Poland's last post-Soviet elites and governance and nostalgic fealty to the U.S. Italy is similarly drifting out of post-Fascist reactionary control and from love/hate of Americans to a rational relationship based in primary commitment to the EU. In the rest of Eastern Europe and East Asian countries (Phillipines, Thailand, Japan, South Korea) and bits of Latin America there's a similar motif/dynamic- Rightish regimes that have held power since WW2, with Cold War fealties and Cold War debts and colonial/feudal/imperial roots, are pushed into failure-or-change; involvement in Iraq seems always a last straw phenomenon in their politics and breaking their back.
So there's a minimal legitimacy to the Iraq matter in toppling a residual Stalinism, as I see it. There's also an indirect utility in the thing going wrong in the way it has- it has decisively freed a lot of countries friendly with the U.S. of their residual internal imperialism/colonialism (by co-indulging it in Iraq) and broken them out of their corrupt or subordinated Cold War relationships with the U.S. Internal residual imperialism and colonialism in the U.S. appears likely to be mortally damaged by the Iraq misadventure as well- though bits will stick around and remain politically alive/used until the last Cold War residues are taken care of.
There's a ways yet to go, of course, in this post-Cold War d/evolution. The American alliance structure in the Middle East is going to change in the aftermath of Iraq (and Sharon's slow creation of a Palestinian state). There are a couple more Eastern European countries to fall out of the post-1989 American orbit and a bunch of ex-Soviet republics and the likes of North Korea and Cuba to drop out of the post-Soviet one. All of those look like pretty peaceful affairs at this point.
And at the end of the process, we have all the Capitalist (colonial/feudal/imperial) regimes and all the Communist (militarist/dictatorial) regimes and much of the military and political remnants of the Cold War expunged from the face of the planet.
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