The real policymakers are Gary Schmitt and Bill Kristol.
http://www.newamericancentury.org/troops-20050713.htmJuly 12, 2005
MEMORANDUM TO: OPINION LEADERS
FROM: William Kristol & Gary Schmitt
SUBJECT: Bring The Troops Home?
Yesterday’s front page of the Washington Post carried a story about a classified memo from Britain’s defense minister to Prime Minister Tony Blair detailing “emerging U.S. plans” to reduce by half the number of soldiers in Iraq by next summer. This would leave American troop levels at around 66,000. The Pentagon has denied there are any fixed plans as yet and reductions will depend on conditions in Iraq.
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But the cost of reducing troop levels in Iraq or Afghanistan will be high. Neither Iraq’s nor Afghanistan’s militaries will be ready to take on the burden of fighting their respective insurgencies in the time frame Secretary Rumsfeld is pushing for. Creating new and effective institutions like an Iraqi or Afghan army takes time, as does fighting an insurgency. Neither task here is at all impossible but, if rushed, we do risk ultimate failure for lack of patience.
Secretary Rumsfeld has time and again said that he defers to his generals in Iraq about the number of troops needed. No one vaguely familiar with how decisions are made in this Pentagon believes that to be the case.
And, indeed, as visiting members of Congress and military reporters have repeatedly reported from Iraq, the military officers there know quite well that more troops are needed, not less. The British memo notes that, while Pentagon officials favor “a relatively bold reduction,” the battlefield commanders “approach is more cautious.” That is one way to put it. Another would be to say that Secretary Rumsfeld is putting the president’s strategic vision at risk, while those soldiering in Iraq are trying to save a policy in the face of inadequate resources.