The so-called "tipping point" has been indicated by the polling. Roughly 3 out of 5 Americans don't like how things are going in Iraq.
But there's yet another tipping point to come: Removing the final rationalization behind this war. Passing that tipping point is what will finally drive the war support numbers down as far as they can go.
Following are the four main arguments against this war, the first three of which we have already been successful at arguing:
Illegal: This has been amply demonstrated by documentation, such as the Downing Street memo, and it could even be argued before we knew of such documentation. Congress was lied to. We violated international agreements. And so on, and so on.
Unjustified: "WMDs and mushroom clouds" were the #1 stated purpose behind the war. Everyone, including rabid right-wingers, knows the truth now. All of Bush's pre-war justifications have vanished into a puff of air. Iraq posed no threat to the U.S.
Immoral: The death and destruction has always made this arguable. But then, the death and destruction combined with no justification for war, combined with losing so many of our finest, combined with the ongoing struggles of the Iraqi people, make this _easily_ arguable. The Iraqi people clearly want our occupation to end, yet the soldiers remain, triggering more and more pain for the people there. Nothing moral about this.
Ignoble: A successful argument here will be the straw that will break the backs of right-wingers and blinkered sycophants who still support the President and his war. This is what will finally dilute the Kool-aid. The question is--How do we make this argument without appearing to love Saddam? After all, wasn't it "noble" to remove a ruthless dictator who savaged his own people?
This is how we make the argument that the war was ignoble:
- Acknowledge that the _idea_ of removing a genocidal evil dictator is noble. Acknowledge that Saddam was and is the scum of the Earth. No question. However, naked aggression against a country we've already proven was no threat to the U.S. was not the only approach we could take to eventually see Saddam gone. In fact, our policies before the war were largely keeping his aggressive behavior in check.
- State that historically the U.S. has never had the _official_ policy of removing foreign leaders by invasion who were not a direct and immediate threat to the U.S.
- State that the U.S. does not and never has had a singular "divine right" to clean up the harsh regimes of the world. The U.S. is a republic, not an empire.
- State the hypocrisy of removing Saddam, but not dealing with other harsh regimes. We can name Cuba, China and North Korea as examples that approach this hypocrisy from different angles. This is also where the "war for oil" arguments (if well crafted) can drift in.
- State that it's wrong for America to basically cut off its nose to spite its face. America killed thousands and thousands of Iraqis... so that Saddam wouldn't? This makes America look noble? That we denied the evil Saddam to kill his people, while we, the supposed "good ones", did the killing? We must stress that this does not make us look noble in the Arab/Muslim world.
- State that ultimately, it was up to the Iraqi people and the Arab community to determine what to do with Saddam. The right-wingers argue about "states' rights" in this country, but when it comes to the sovereignty of other nations and regions, their intellectual gears slip.
We must emphatically state that the "happy thought" of removing a vile dictator does not make this war noble. To think something is noble without looking at the entire situation, with the tremendous death and destruction, and how our actions are viewed in the world, is to display a superficial understanding of what is really noble. Laying waste to a country and its people to take down one man... just try to keep that image in your head while mouthing the word "noble"... and try not to throw up.
Foreign policy and defense of this nation cannot rest on the kind of happy thoughts... er, naive thinking... that the U.S. somehow "performed a service" for the Iraqi people, while denying all the other facts of this war. We as human beings cannot have the noble thought of "oh, wouldn't it be a good thing to remove this serial killer from our midsts", and then proceed to the destroy the city we think he is in to find him.
We must tell the right-wingers: "With this war, the nobleness ended as soon as the original happy thought was processed."
In summary, to move a lot closer to ending this big mess we're end, we must forcefully make the final argument that THIS WAR WAS IGNOBLE.