Wanna Bet?

[Jacobin]

Okay, here's a website based in Ireland that let's you do online trading on the future of political and economic events. You use money in $10 trading increments.

Its pretty amazing, really.

Wanna bet on whether Karl Rove will resign by the end of August 2005? September 2005?

Wanna bet on whether Hillary will be the nominee?

Wanna bet on when Osama will be caught?

Here ya go:

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/#

Here's one I like, but the odds, suck, unfortunately:

Karl Rove Resignation** (Contract Rule 1.8)
ROVE.RESIGNATION.AUG05
Karl Rove Resignation to be announced on or before 31 August 2005 M 0.5 1.8 1.0 1101 0
ROVE.RESIGNATION.SEP05
Karl Rove Resignation to be announced on or before 30 September 2005 M 2.1 5.5 5.4 1999 0

Here are the odds on Osama capture:

SAMA.CAPTURE.DEC05
Osama Bin Laden to be captured/neutralised by 31 December 2005 M 13.3 24.9 15.0 6142 +2.4


Sooooo, the next time a DUers is absolutely, positively convinced he is right and is willing to 'bet on it'....send him here and if you think he's wrong, buy his contract!!!

:bounce:

[wli]

1. I've got my own theory on Osama bin Laden

Namely that he died in a hospital in Pakistan or the UAE probably around Dec. 2001 despite the best medicine the CIA could buy.

[Jacobin]

2. Then you would sell a contract on finding him

by any of the dates set.

Because if he's not found by then, you would win the bet.

Its great, because you can see how other people think, who are willing to put money on their predictions....even if its only $10 or so.

I'm practicing on the site to see how it works

[wli]

3. well, I'd just follow his obituaries in various papers

They're around.