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Sewsojm Donating Member (554 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:44 PM
Original message
Heard today on NPR
Edited on Thu Aug-25-05 05:45 PM by Sewsojm
NPR reports that the price of oil per barrel would have to hit $90.00 a barrel to equal prices 25 years ago. I find that to be total BS, how about you?
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Shoeempress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. Jeez did they get that from the Heritage Institute or Cato?
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Donailin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:00 PM
Response to Reply #1
15. nothing to do with either thinktank
supply and demand. We are at peak.

On a postive note check this out:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/08/25/AR2005082501026.html


this is promising and do-able. Two bucks a gallon would be fine with me.
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TheFarseer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. Well, figure it out
You can look up what oil was in 1980. Finding the inflation rate since then might be more difficult, but I'm sure it's online somewhere.
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wli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. westegg.com I think has it n/t
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flamin lib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. You'd almost need a reverse amortization schedule.
Oil at $20 a barrel & 4% inflation = 'bout $20.80 a barrel.

Next year $20.80 a barrel & 4% = 21.63

21.63 @ 4% = 22.50

It's the miracle of compound interest!!!
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montanacowboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
3. What a crock
they keep telling us that actually gas is cheaper by today's prices than it was back in the 80's

oh well, what the hell, the idiots out there believe anything - I guess they might think we have a bargain in our gas prices
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. They probably meant adjusted for inflation, but there was a crisis
in the late 70s where people had to wait on long lines for gas.
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Mika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Because Iran cut us off.
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flamin lib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:59 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. Iran then and Venezuela now. 10% of US supply from them. nt
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #4
27. Real wages have dropped since the mid seventies.
So price adjusted for inflation means little.
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JuniperLea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:51 PM
Response to Original message
6. Just because it didn't keep up
is no reason it should! Maybe the relatively low gas prices were what allowed us to excel in other areas? I don't know, just saying.
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zoeb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:52 PM
Response to Original message
8. I heard gas at the pumps would have to go up another
$.50 on the gallon to equal the late '70s...I guess that would put it at $90 a barrel. But all the retailers are complaining about slumping sales so the current prices are having a huge effect at the checkout. I don't even think the back-to-school sales can pump up the earnings for big retailers like Wal-Mart, Kmart or Target. Those earnings will come out in about three weeks. Wait and see!:popcorn:
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ThomWV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
9. Making Excuses For A Failed Executive Policy
Edited on Thu Aug-25-05 05:55 PM by ThomWV
If you can call allowing the rape of the American People to be called a policy.

I heard that bit too, and it really pissed me off. Oil today hit a fucking all time high. The NEWS of the day is that oil hit an all time high - if NPR wanted to broadcast wanted a fucking lesson on inflation since the days of Jimmy Carter that would be one thing, but it would not be today's NEWS. Apparently NPR can no longer distinguish between what is and what is pandering bullshit.
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Donailin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
10. It will be 90 by the holidays
I read this a month ago in several places. The P'sTB feel the american people can handle up to 3.50 - 4.00 a gallon before the economy would suffer in any significant way.

I told my mechanic two weeks ago when gas was still 2.43 that he should watch that sign out there ( i pointed to the price sign) -- it's going to climb to 4.00 by the end of the year. I told him it would reach 90 a barrel by Christmas. He looked skeptical. I wonder how skeptical he is now. That was 35 cents ago -- in two weeks.

Oil hit 68 a barrel today. I predict we'll see it hit 70 within the next two weeks -- labor day and all that.
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Cocoa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
12. here's an inflation calculator
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zoeb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. according to that calculator
$.85 gallon of gas in 1978 would be $2.59 today....that tells me that all the rhetoric ($90) is just that. We have already reached that point.
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dbonds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:05 PM
Response to Reply #12
18. By that calculator
What cost $20 in 1980 would cost $50.79 in 2005.

Also, if you were to buy exactly the same products in 2005 and 1980,
they would cost you $20 and $7.88 respectively.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
13. Now what is this brainwashing bullshit? And a loave of bread should
be $30.00 right?
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El Supremo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:03 PM
Response to Original message
16. I think that is a bit too high.
Here is a graph from WTRG Economics:

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smoogatz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:11 PM
Response to Reply #16
21. So, assuming the graph is correct
Oil prices are at their highest-ever point, even adjusted for inflation. My question is, was this pronouncement made by an NPR commentator, or by someone they were interviewing? What was the segment?
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B Calm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:06 PM
Response to Original message
19. They must not know the difference in wages between the classes.
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trekbiker Donating Member (724 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:08 PM
Response to Original message
20. its true.
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smoogatz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:18 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. We're talking apples and oranges here
Edited on Thu Aug-25-05 06:22 PM by smoogatz
Oil is the highest it's ever been; California average unleaded gas was (slightly) higher in '81, at the start of the Iran/Iraq war. And there are plenty of places in SoCal right now where gas is right around $3 gallon. I don't think oil would have to go up another $22 a barrel in order for gas to spike eight cents.
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stanwyck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:12 PM
Response to Original message
22. The real story here
is what was the percentage of profit for the oil companies 25 years ago compared to now. Because despite our huge increases in the price of gasoline, the oil companies cannot cry that shortages are costing them more...so they have to charge more. They're not barely scraping by.
They're reporting windfall profits. They're making out like, well, bandits.
Odd how an oil administration like Bush's can be so beneficial to big oil.
Odd.
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achtung_circus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:12 PM
Response to Original message
23. Pick your poison
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carpetbagger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:21 PM
Response to Original message
25. Sounds about right, according to these facts
I remember the price of gas being around 1.25 for most of the early 1980's. $1.29 in 1984 (I found an old picture in an album of mine with that price in the background) would be $2.39 today. 1984 wasn't the peak by far.

According to AAA's Michigan club (just happened to be the first link I pulled up), here's the prices for the peak years of the oil spike...

1979 $1.274
1980 $1.274
1981 $1.397


That comes out, adjusted, to $3.61, 3.24, 3.13.

In 1981, a barrel of crude cost $35, on average. That's equivalent to $78 in today's money. I'm sure during parts of 1981 it was higher.
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bpilgrim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-25-05 06:25 PM
Response to Original message
26. yeah, that pain in your ungrateful wallet is ALL in your heads!
now, get back to the PYRAMIDS!!!

http://media.globalfreepress.com

peace
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