Greenspan Says Housing Boom to `Simmer Down,' Prices May Fall
Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. housing boom is sure to end eventually, slowing spending and possibly leading to a drop in home prices, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said.
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The housing boom will inevitably simmer down," Greenspan said in the text of a speech at the close of a two-day Kansas City Fed symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. "As part of that process, house turnover will decline from currently historic levels, while home price increases will slow and prices could even decrease."
Greenspan's comments suggest economic growth would slow as the housing surge subsides, reducing pressure on central bankers to raise interest rates and helping ease imbalances in the world's largest economy. A day earlier Greenspan urged investors not to forget about the possibility that asset prices may fall.
The eventual end of the boom will cause U.S. consumers to take out fewer home-equity loans, giving them less money to spend. That in turn may increase the savings rate and ease the import-driven current account deficit, he said, adding that the shift needn't be ``wrenching'' if the economy remains flexible. ``Home equity extraction will ease and with it some of the strength in personal consumption expenditures,'' Greenspan said.
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