2003 SurveyUSA Election Polls - Davis in freefall, Arnold surging

[Dean-my-man]

Some serious news:

2003 SurveyUSA Election Polls

Sorted: Newest Data on Top

Last Updated: 10/1/03


CA Governor Recall

10/1/2003

Remove Davis

61%

Keep Davis

39%

Undecided

0%

Data Collected

9/28/03 - 9/30/03

Geography

State of California

Universe

709 Certain Voters

Margin of Error

3.7%

Client

KABC-TV Los Angeles

KGTV-TV San Diego

KPIX-TV San Francisco

KXTV-TV Sacramento

CA Governor Replacement

10/1/2003

Schwarzenegger (R)

45%

Bustamante (D)

28%

McClintock (R)

16%

Huffington (I)

3%

Other

5%

Undecided

2%

Data Collected

9/28/03 - 9/30/03

Geography

State of California

Universe

681 Certain Voters

Margin of Error

3.8%

Client

KABC-TV Los Angeles

KGTV-TV San Diego

KPIX-TV San Francisco

KXTV-TV Sacramento

[realFedUp]

1. Post a link please

and your opinion of this recall if that isn't too much
to ask.

[Dean-my-man]

6. At the end of the day...

Whatever.

I say, let Arnold win; then we can blame the REPtiles when nothing changes in CA.

If Davis started acting like a Democrat BEFORE the recall, he wouldn't be in this situation. He deserves the boot. Then we can easily beat Arnold with a REAL Democrat in a landslide next time :)

[CatWoman]

8. I've never heard of SurveyUSA

They a subsidiary of vote.com?

[dusty64]

25. Sounds like a gun for hire.

If arnie "wins", I say another recall is in order. Whatcha think?
INTRODUCTION
Market Research differs from public opinion polling in that the results of market research are typically confidential, and are intended only for the use of the company that commissioned the research.

SurveyUSA has conducted market research for some of the most demanding research buyers in the world, including some of the world's largest research companies.


CLIENTS

SurveyUSA has conducted full service market research, or has done private-label data collection, for the following organizations:

AAA
AARP
Abbott Laboratories, Inc.
ABC, Inc.
Advanced Analytics
AG Greeting Cards
Alcon Laboratories, Inc.
Allbritton Communications Company
American Cancer Society, Inc.
AOL Time Warner
AR&D
AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals LP
AT&T
Bayer Corporation
Beiersdorf AG / Nivea
Belo
Bob Evens Farms, Inc.
Bonneville International Corporation
Capitol Broadcasting Company, Inc.
CBS, Inc.
Chase Manhattan Bank
Chris-Craft Industries, Inc.
Citigroup, Inc.
Clorox Company
CNN Audience Research
Colgate-Palmolive Company
Conde Nast Publications, Inc.
Costco Wholesale Corporation
Cowles Publishing Company
Cox Enterprises, Inc.
Darden Restaurants, Inc.
Delta Carbona
Dial Corporation
Dispatch Printing Company
Dow Jones & Company, Inc./Wall St. Journal
E.W. Scripps Company/Scripps Howard
Eastman Kodak Company
Emmis Communications
Enterprise Rent-A-Car Company
Ericsson Cellular
Evening Post Publishing Company
Eveready Battery Company, Inc.
Fisher Broadcasting Company
Fox Entertainment Group, Inc.
Freedom Communications, Inc.
Gannett Co., Inc.
General Electric Company
General Foods / International Coffees
GlaxoSmithKline
Granite Broadcasting Corporation
Gray Communication Systems, Inc.
Griffin Television, LLC
Guideline Research Corporation
Hasbro, Inc.
Hearst-Argyle Television, Inc.
Hicks, Muse, Tate & Furst, Inc.
Hubbard Broadcasting, Inc.
Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.
Ipsos-NPD
J.P. Morgan & Company
Jefferson-Pilot Communications, Inc.
Kal-Kan Foods, Inc.
Kmart Corp.
Kraft Foods, Inc.
Lee Enterprises, Inc.
Limited, Inc. / Intimate Brands, Inc.
LIMRA International
LIN Television Corporation
Maker's Mark Distillery
Market Facts / Aegis Group
Marketing Corporation of America
Mars, Inc.
McCormick & Company Inc.
McGraw-Hill Companies
Media General, Inc.
Merck Laboratories
Meredith Corporation
Merisant
Michelin
Microsoft Corporation
Monroe Mendelsohn Research, Inc.
Monsanto Company, Inc.
NBC, Inc.
New York Times Company
News Corporation Ltd.
Nexium
Nexstar Broadcasting Group, Inc.
NFO Worldwide
PepsiCo, Inc. / Frito-Lay
Pfizer, Inc.
Philip Morris Companies, Inc.
Procter & Gamble
Raycom Media, Inc.
RJR Nabisco Inc.
Sara Lee Corporation
Sears, Roebuck & Company
Sentinel
Schering-Plough Corporation
Sinclair Broadcasting Group, Inc.
Spartan Communications
St. James
Sunbeam Television Corporation
Sunbelt Communications Company
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
The Harrison Group
Tribune Company
Unilever Bestfoods
VF Corporation
Viacom, Inc. / Paramount Television
Victoria's Secret
Walt Disney Company
Washington Post Company/Post Newsweek Stations Inc.
Weather Channel Enterprises, Inc.
Weatherproof Garment Company
Yahoo! Inc.
Young Broadcasting, Inc.
Yuban Coffee Company
Zale Corporation/Zales Jewelers


http://www.surveyusa.com/privatemarket.html

[mitchtv]

9. let arnold win????

do we have a choice. If he gets less votes than Davis a recall is warranted.

[not systems]

13. No, you are incorrect...

things will change and not for the better if
Arnold wins. Davis has done somethings well and
some badly but this recall is not democracy as
normal it is the tactic of people attempting
to consolidate one party rule by corporations
in the nation.

Davis stands against this by being in the middle
of the road Arnold will deliver for his big money
backers with anti-enviroment, anti-labor, and
anti-civil rights policys using all the levers
available backed by the experts of dirty tricks
from Texas.

You should vote No on the recall Yes on Bustamante
and No on 54.

Where do you stand on these issues?

I support Dean do you?

[Dean-my-man]

14. Dean, but people here seem to

support Clark, and, in my first day, I have already been tagged a "Dean-Bot".

I thought this was a place for Democrats, not Clark-Pseudo-Republicans. Anyone who supports Clark has no principles.

[not systems]

15. It is your name choice.

If you have been called a Dean-bot.

What about the recall are you in CA?

How will you vote?

[Dean-my-man]

16. No on recall

Green on part 2. Bustamante betrayed his party and does not deserve its votes. If he didn't split the ranks, Davis wouldn't be in jeopardy now.

[not systems]

20. With you on NO recall but...

think you should consider Bustamante. I think
a world of difference exist between Arnold and
Cruz. I am not one to knock Camejo as many here
do but it will make a difference if it is close
which poll not withstanding I believe it is.

Cruz has a much better stand on corporations
and the enviroment than Arnold who is a trojan
horse for the Bushies.

[Dean-my-man]

23. Camejo

is pure; Camejo is a man of principle. I cannot, in good conscience, vote for Cruz merely because he has a (D) next to his name. Especially after his betrayal.

[not systems]

28. Sorry to here it.

You may want to be less harsh about Clark
being an independent if you are ready to put
party last in part 2.

I have some of the same fears about Clark that
you do but am with holding judgement until he
gets some treadwear. He may fold up. He may
end up being on a ticket with Dean even if they
snipe at each other in the primaries.

What was the betrayal that you hold against Cruz
joining the race at all?

[Dean-my-man]

31. Principle over party

I believe in principle over party.

It is no secret that Cruz and Davis HATE each other (remember his Parking Space?). Cruz went against the wishes of the party by entering the fray (remember how DiFi and Boxer stayed out?).

So, his entry into the race was a betrayal of party, and he doesn't deserve to be rewarded for that.

There is no need for Cruz, nor was there ever, if Davis simply wins part 1, right? But, Cruz has taken much of the focus off part 1, which makes it harder to keep Davis in office.

[not systems]

34. I'm a pragmatist

I think that Davis should have stepped aside
and avoid the whole recall with Cruz as governer.

But the past is history, only the future is unwriten.

Peace.

edit: pragmatist and bad speller

[jeter]

41. Dean-my-man

You're the reason we're going to lose. Davis was always done for. Bustamante running was a smart move. Too bad it were Davis-lovers that were willing to destroy the entire Democratic Party and the state of California.

Thanks a lot.

[hooligan]

46. Have to disagree with you here

I like Camejo better than Cruz, but I am voting No/Bustamante. Here's why:

1. This recall threatens the will of the voters who chose Gray Davis last year. By rights, the governor's seat belongs to Gray Davis and the Democratic party. If Davis loses the office, then at least it should be preserved for the Democrats.

2. In any other situation where the governor can't fulfill his duties, the Lt. Governor takes over. It should be no different here.

3. The Republicans hate Cruz even more than Davis. It would be poetic justice to see them get burned by their own treachery.

[Forkboy]

17. This is wrong

Anyone who supports Clark has no principles.

But I do wonder about the principles of people who believe in such blanket statements of whole groups.

[Dean-my-man]

21. Well, considering that this is a place for Democrats

And Clark is not even REGISTERED as a Democrat (probably even a nominal Republican), my statement holds true. Clark should fall "outside the logical distribution of 'Democrats'".

I'm telling you... Clark is a ploy; he was concocted by the Vast Right Wing COnspiracy to keep Bush in office. How? I think his true colors will come out in the general election if he wins the nomination when he throws the election, giving Bush an easy win.

Not convinced? Look at his credentials. Military-industrial complex drone; speaks at GOP gatherings until he arbitrarily decides to become a Democrat; voted for NIXON and RAY-GUN; etc. Honestly, how could any of us, in good faith, vote for this guy?

It's like Republicans voting for Arnold over McClintock because they think Arnold can win (and we ridicule them for it).

[Forkboy]

24. Regardless,your comment was a blanket statement and wrong.

Also,according to the DU rules "This is a message board for Democrats and other progressives."

[Dean-my-man]

26. Democrats and other progressives

Ha! Clark is hardly a progressive. How many progressives you know would publically admit to voting for Nixon and Reagan?

[not systems]

29. Some progressives worked for...

Nixon and Reagan. Strange time make for
strange alliances.

Clark did speak up for restoring the fairness
doctrine and against Rush's racism.

[Dean-my-man]

33. Judge by what he does

He can say whatever he wants; it's what he will DO that concerns me.

[Forkboy]

30. Clark isn't a poster on DU

his supporters are,and simply put,whether you like them or agree with them saying that none of them have any principles is flat out wrong.

[Dean-my-man]

32. Supporting someone

like Clark, who we can stipulate, based on the above comments, is no progressive, removes the label of progressive of any of his supporters.

[Forkboy]

35. wrong again

making blanket statements of entire groups based on one person removes your label of progressive.

[Dean-my-man]

36. Really?

Even if I called all Republicans racist, fascist, capitalist pigs? You wouldn't agree with that? I find that hard to believe. If you want to disagree, name five current Republicans you like, and explain why you like them.

[Forkboy]

37. you'd still be wrong

My father
My brother in law (neither one,amazingly,are racist,fascist or a capitalist pig.)

I dont need to name five...those two alone tell me how wrong you are.

Blanket statements are always wrong.I could say all Dean supporters are edgy,pushy and arrogant but I'd be wrong about that,as are you about all Clark supporters.

[Dean-my-man]

38. Better duck for cover!

You realize that you will come under immediate fire from anyone reading that last post of yours, right? :)

[Forkboy]

39. That's ok by me

Hopefully they'll see the point I'm making.

If not...then it's just more DUers that dont like me :D

[bicentennial_baby]

47. We love you forkboy!!!

Even us sickening, unprincipled, non-progressive Clark supporters! :P

[Forkboy]

54. hehe

you wacky Clark supporter you :D

:hi:

[blondeatlast]

45. It's okay on this board to bash Republicans and pretty much call

them anything you like.

Whether you like it or not, Clark is running as a Democrat, and it is NOT okay to bash his supporters or call them non-progressives.

Next time you register for a message board, read the rules first. You are coming close to some real violations here.

[janekat]

50. I did and I'm a Progressive - that was 19 years ago that Reagan ran.

Several others here did also. 60% of the population voted for him.

You're very judgemental, aren't you? Before you start throwing accusations about a candidate, we try to provide links.

Have you read up on Clark's issues?
http://www.issues2000.org/Wesley_Clark.htm

would consider cutting defense spending if elected, he said. "We are trapped in .....an endless occupation" of Iraq".

Supports University of Michigan's affirmative action plan. (Jun 15)

“We went into Iraq under false pretenses. There was deceptive advertising; you'd be taking to the Better Business Bureau if you bought a washing machine the way we went into the war in Iraq.”

”We're taking casualties. We haven't made America safer by this. We've made America more engaged, more vulnerable, more committed, less able to respond. We've lost a tremendous amount of goodwill around the world by our actions and our continuing refusal to bring in international institutions. “

Compared Bush to Nixon in abusing his power to bully Congress and US allies. "This is an administration which has moved in a way we have not seen any administration since Nixon to abuse executive authority to scheme, manipulate, intimidate and maneuver.”

"We've found many times in our experience that it's best to use force only as a last resort."

”Why are so many here in America hesitant to speak out and ask questions? We're going to ask those hard questions. And in a time of war, we're going to ask those questions in the highest sense of patriotism. We are going to hold the administration accountable for its policies and results.”

"I'm concerned about the lock-up policy, the 3-strikes policy, putting people in jails and the way we've treated people in prison. We've got to look seriously at the American penal system and what it does when it returns people to the streets."

Full sunshine review of PATRIOT Act. (Jun 19)

Disturbed that we suspended habeus corpus for War on Terror. (Mar 23)

"we should be very reluctant to use force. It has incredible, difficult and unintended consequences, which we are once again beginning to see as we deal with the situation in Iraq."

Supports funding for all-day kindergarten

Establish 18:1 student-teacher ratio for grade school. (Mar 1999)

Decries lack of funding for No Child Left Behind. (Apr 28)

[blondeatlast]

44. I doubt it will be there soon.

[blondeatlast]

42. I don't support anyone yet.

What does that make me?

No principles? Dean's a fine man, but some of his supporters take things a bit too personally.

[ElsewheresDaughter]

2. i don't believe any of it...all shit!

[AnnabelLee]

3. Dean-my-man

When posting copyrighted material, please include a link to the original source.

Thank you
AnnabelLee
DU Moderator

[Dean-my-man]

4. Whoops!

Sorry...

Here it is:

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

[realFedUp]

7. Survey USA are bogus rightleaning pollsters

We've talked about them before.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

10. YES THEY ARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Survey USA is highly inaccurate!!! They are intentionally this way!

Pure B.S!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

-and yes, we have talked about them before!!!

[nothingshocksmeanymore]

18. Thanks for the results of a push poll

[lolly]

5. Old Tactic?

The give-it-up, your guy is gonna lose stuff is an old tactic--take a race that's pretty close, jerk up some "polls" or pundits to call the show, then sit back and wait for voters to give up and stay home. Why bother to vote if it's already decided.

[AP]

11. Don't believe anything big media is saying about this election

either it's a lie or it's something they're spinning to help Arnold.

[Dean-my-man]

27. Yeah righ

The media is on our side

[NewYorkerfromMass]

12. something tells me the Latinos are coming out in full force for Cruz

so tell Arnold to keep his dates on the set. Oh and shove the polls.

[wtmusic]

19. Massive Arnie spin happening here in CA

I'm getting dizzy...I don't feel well...
:puke:

[CMT]

22. hate to say it but

this survey usa poll is close to the Gallup and LA times polls. I guess the California Field poll will be out later this week or weekend and I generally have most faith in that one, so we will see what they say. But...the trend is not good. The only thing that can save either Davis or Bustamante is a huge turnout among Democratic base and it sounds like the GOP is more motivated to turnout. What the hell is wrong with our democrats anyway? don't they see what the GOP is trying to do?

[jeter]

40. 681 "certain voters"

This is weak. I'm beginning to smell a rat. The Gallup, LA Times, and now this. Their numbers are all pretty similar. They all ask "certain voters" or "probable voters."

If the same question were asked of say REGISTERED FUCKING VOTERS, maybe the results would be different. These polls are basing these numbers on one huge assumption. They think more Republicans will vote than Democrats.

Turnout is key. Davis has fucked this thing so royally that I think he is done. But Bustamante can still do it.

He needs the 45% that are voting against the Recall.

This is why I hate, and have always hated Gray Davis. He puts us in these situations.

[Governor Davis]

43. Thanks for the vote of confidence

[goobergunch]

49. Welcome to DU, Mr. Governor!

And good luck on the recall!

:hi:

[goobergunch]

48. This poster has been tombstoned.

Furthermore, we all know that Survey USA is biased.

[janekat]

51. probably sent over from the freeper board...

n/t

[goobergunch]

53. Correct

To: bulldogs

DAMN! DU revoked my posting privileges. I've been dampening their spirits and driving them up a wall as "Dean-My-Man"! Lol!


5 posted on 10/02/2003 4:48 PM PDT by jmstein7
< Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies >

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/994042/posts

[Zorra]

52. The polls need to justify evote machine results. n/t