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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:25 PM
Original message
Post Hurricane Gallup Poll - Strange Results...
http://gallup.com/poll/content/?ci=18412

"Do you think Bush has/have done a -- great, good, neither good nor bad, bad, or terrible job -- in responding to the hurricane and subsequent flooding?

BUSH 18% Bad, 24 % Terrible, and 21 % Neutral" - totals 63 %


Here, the public pretty much thinks he sucks or doesn't feel one way or the other.


"Who do you think is MOST responsible for the problems in New Orleans after the hurricane -- , or is no one really to blame?
BUSH - 13 %"


Here, the public doesn't seen to blame him at all. Surely, the 13 % is not made up of DUers, Kayne West, and Jon Stewart only?
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Spazito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. Gallup is a bush pollster, they poll more republicans than dems
and independents which skew the results. You have to look at the percentage of repubs polled versus the dems and independents, if you can find that data.
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derby378 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. 35% say either Great or Good
Sounds like the numbers I've been hearing - but damn.
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:33 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. I guess the 35% is the hard-core repug base that we will never
win. BUT -- that means we could win the next election 65-35, sounds good to me. Big enough margin so EVERYONE would believe it if they rig it.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:34 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. That's bad for Bush.
I don't know how many times I have to repeat this fact. That is his core base. What it means is "no rally effect." none at all. A disaster for the president.
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kansasblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 05:24 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. they've burned so many people each time, I agree
there never be a rally of support. but the base will remain strong
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kainah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:30 PM
Response to Original message
3. another small sample
Results are based on telephone interviews with 609 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted Sept. 5-6, 2005. For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

That's a pretty small sample again.
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FormerRepublican Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:31 PM
Response to Original message
4. I think they're faking the polls. They need auditing.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:32 PM
Response to Original message
5. Already been dissected 1000 times here
The blame numbers are irrelevant. They gave the option to blame Bush or the feds. That splits off the "pissed at the feds" group.
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. 1000 times?
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:34 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. You have no idea how many times
that poll has been brought up today.

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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 04:34 PM
Response to Original message
9. You could read the 13% question as basically asking if Bush
is to blame for the Hurricane. That's how many people may have interpreted it.
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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-07-05 05:13 PM
Response to Original message
11. The way they ask the question - with many options for "bad" skews
the results. Plus - many people who are outraged are helping out and doing data-entry and stuff.

No - you definitely cannot trust the polls. Remember that on election day. To ignore any "leaked info" on exit polls tell Dems they have a lead...and encouraging the busy Dem voters to stay home.
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