How Will They Drop Out?

[ThomWV]

As the season progresses our Candidate wannabees are going to start to drop out of the race. So who do you think will be the first to fall, and then, and then, ......

[TSIAS]

1. Graham's out soon

I think Graham's the first to go. Gephardt, Kucinich, CMB, and Sharpton probably are out after Iowa and NH. From there, it's hard to tell. I speculate Kerry and Lieberman will be out after South Carolina. I think it will come down to Dean versus Clark/Edwards (one of whom will win SC)

[fedupwithbush]

2. I'll give it a go.

Graham - It's already a thought.

Mosely-Braun - Love her, but I'm being frank. No money and no impetus.

Kucinich - Love him, but not gonna happen.

John Edwards - He was one of my front runners at one time. What happened?

Gephardt - Too establishment and he can do more good staying where he is.

Lieberman - Won't drop out even though he should have been one of the first on the list. Sorry, he was one of the reasons I considered voting for McCain in 2000. This guy is way too likely to sway in the direction of whomever is in charge. Bush/Lieberman anyone?

Sharpton - Love him too, he'll stay in long enough to irritate, haha! Maybe come back in 2012. Ah, too bad there isn't a multiple party primary (yet).

Dean - 3 way tie. Can't predict. Brain numb. But he needs to get his message less mad and more forceful.

Clark - 3 way tie. Can't predict. Brain numb. Needs to get his message straight. But I see him as the front-runner. Resume's really do count for a lot. Plus charisma and just comes across well.

Kerry - 3 way tie. Can't predict. However, he reminds me of Gore, whom I liked. But he's not as exciting to us people as Dean and Clark. Who knows, he may shock us all. Especially if he added Dean or Clark as VP.

[Dookus]

3. yup...

I predict essentially the same.

Lieberman and Gephardt MAY last longer than we expect, but I wouldn't bet the house on it. I see it coming down to Clark, Dean, Kerry.

Further, I think it will be decided a little earlier than a lot of people think. Any one of those three could wrap things up early.

[demnan]

4. Welcome to DU!

I 90% agree with you on your assessments. Thanks for weighing in.

I'm still more a Dean partisan, but we will see what happens.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

5. Pretty much nails it.

[dofus]

6. This year the primary/caucus season

is going to be extremely short. Maybe none of them will drop out. Personally, I wish the field would start thinning already. But the ones that will probably drop out first (Mosely-Braun, Sharpton) have no real support out that, and they know it, and we all know it.

In my personal opinion, Gephardt and Graham ought to leave soon and with dignity.

What remains, really, are Dean, Clark, maybe Kucinich and Edwards, and their supporters seem to be hardening. I just hope that in the end, we really do unite behind the nominee.

[mlawson]

7. It will narrow to Kerry, Dean, Edwards and Clark.

I still maintain that the DNC and other power brokers intend for Kerry to be the nominee. Then, Edwards and Clark fight it out for VP, possibly thrown open to the convention. Dean, sadly, will be bypassed, a la Gary Hart.

[jiacinto]

8. What I probably think

CMB will probably be the first to go, followed by Graham, Sharpton, and Kuchinich. Then again Sharpton might stick around until the convention, same for Kuchinich.

After that point IA and NH will ferret the field out further. I think that at this point Lieberman and Edwards drop out. Then again, if Graham is still around and fails, he goes with them. Gephardt will probably win IA and stick around.

At the next set of primaries the field will dwindle. Gephardt probably leaves. If Lieberman and Edwards are still in the race they drop out. That will leave Dean, Clark, and Kerry.