Stassen study he had real data for a few states and Hillary used his results exactly as presented: In a speech to family-planning providers in New York on January 24, 2005 , Sen. Hillary Clinton recounted decreases in the abortion rate that occurred in her husband's administration, then lamented that the situation had changed. She repeated exactly some of the figures that Stassen had given in his Houston Chronicle article.
Clinton : But unfortunately, in the last few years, while we are engaged in an ideological debate instead of one that uses facts and evidence and common sense, the rate of abortion is on the rise in some states . In the three years since President Bush took office, 8 states saw an increase in abortion rates (14.6% average increase), and four saw a decrease (4.3% average), so we have a lot of work still ahead of us.
Clinton was careful not to state flatly that abortions were increasing nationally . She spoke only of "some states" in which the rate had increased.
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Stassen still argues that the small rate of decline that Guttmacher reports still constitutes a "stall" in what had earlier been a more rapid decline. He also continues to criticize the Bush administration for economic policies that he says bring hardship on low-income women. "It is clear to me that undermining the financial support for mothers, undermining the availability of medical insurance, and increasing the jobless rate for prospective mates so that they are less likely to marry, has a bad influence on abortion rates and infant mortality rates."
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http://www.agi-usa.org/media/nr/2005/05/19/index.htmlDECADES-LONG DECLINE IN NUMBER AND RATE OF U.S. ABORTIONS CONTINUES, NEW ANALYSIS SHOWS
A new analysis from The Alan Guttmacher Institute shows that U.S. abortion rates continued to decline in 2001 and 2002, although the rate of decline has slowed since the early 1990s
The most recent survey reported on abortions in 2000. Since that time, limited national abortion incidence data have been available.
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my take away is that FACTCHECK is full of shit and that Hillary and Stassen are on to something. - a rate change projection is in effect a curve projection that would not show a change in direction based on the method described.
But you must use the Stassen data as Hillary did - indeed her exact quote is the wording I'd recommend.