Tropical Depression 18 likely to nail Texas as a Hurricane by Saturday

[Quixote1818]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1805W5_sm2+gif/144728W_sm.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/144728.shtml?5day

[tocqueville]

1. heading straight towards Crawford ?

[WiseButAngrySara]

3. Ha! We can only hope! Is Houston/Galveston in the projected

forecast? I hope not!

[Quixote1818]

4. It looks like it's going to hit south of Houston, perhaps Brownsville

San Antonio, Austin and Crawford may get a crap load of rain out of it though.

Than again, a week is a long time! It could swing north and hit New Orleans for all we know. I would bet on South Texas or Northern Mexico though.

[rateyes]

5. That map looks like it is headed toward Brownsville...

but, who knows with hurricanes? That's all NOLA evacuees need, is another Cat 4, 5 to hit the Astrodome! :scared:

[SammyWinstonJack]

2. Oh boy!

:scared: :hide:

[koopie57]

6. watch out NO

I suspect all the resources in NO will be pulled out by Tuesday and sent to be waiting ready to go in the Houston area JUST IN CASE.

[Strelnikov_]

7. Katrina Was A TD At About The Same Location

Model tracks at about the same stage as TD18



Final path:

[DLnyc]

8. Yeah, 5-day forecasts are not that precise.

My understanding is that the balloon-shaped 'envelope' on the 'warnings and 5-day cone' graphic show the range of possibilities, with the black line being a combination of the average of several (about 5?) models, combined with some educated guesswork.