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Edited on Fri Sep-23-05 02:47 AM by Yupster
no the Civil War did not need to be fought.
This is just my opinion of course, a meek former history teacher and textbook author. Many other much more gloried historians no doubt would disagree with me.
As another poster already pointed out, the country for 30 years was split over slavery before 1860. Both political parties were well aware of this split and did much to try to keep it from cleaving. For instance, each presidential candidate, whether Whig or Democrat would choose a running mate from the opposite region of the country. Even in 1860 when the Democratic Party split regionally, still Stephen Douglas, the Northern Democratic candidate ran with a Senator from Georgia as his VP, and John Breckinridge, the Southern Democratic candidate ran with a running mate from Oregon. The Republicans broke this tradition by running Lincoln with another outspoken anti-slavery candidiate from Maine. Same thing with cabinet members.
So I blame Lincoln for running as a strictly regional candidiate.
Once Lincoln was elected, South Carolina immediately seceeded. But that was all.
Other southern states were aguing and considering secession. It was in this period where Senator Crittenden of Kentucky chaired a special committee of thirteen senators to see if compromise could be worked out to keep the southern states in the union. On the committee were Crittenden, a Whig, five Republicans and seven Democrats. The biggest names in the senate were in attendance, William Seward of New york, Stephen Douglas of Illinois, Jefferson Davis of Mississippi, and Robert Toombs of Georgia.
The committee decided early on that there was no sense putting together a plan unless the Republicans agreed to it, and that was the problem. The president-elect was touring the big cities of the north holding large rallies on his meandering way to Washington. Seward asked again and again for instructions, but he was told there would be none. The president-elect would endorse no compromise language. The committee met through Christmas, and then went home. Within two weeks of the committee's failure southern states started to leave. Six more left between Jan 9 and Feb 1.
I blame Lincoln for not touring union areas of the south and border states and not working with the Crittenden Committee. There were southern politicians who were working with good will to keep the nation together, and he didn't help them. Davis by the way did not go to Montgomery where the new Confederate government was organizing like most well known southern politicians did. He went home. He was certainly surprised to find himself chosen as the country's first president. It was not a job he wanted.
Even after the seven states formed the Confederacy I do not believe war was inevitable. Four of the five most populous southern states had not seceeded. They were Virginia, North Carolina, Tennessee and Kentucky. Without them it was hard to see the Confederacy as a viable country that would last long on its own.
Then Lincoln made a diplomatic blunder of Bushian proportions. After Fort Sumpter, he called forth the militias, and though blatanly unconstitutional, he gave each state a quota of how many soldiers each would have to provide for the invasion of the south.
Well, Tennessee had just put the issue up to a vote of its people, and by a very close vote they voted not to call a secession convention, but to stay in the union. The biggest prize by far, Virginia was also undecided. Well, that call for soldiers made each state choose sides, and Tennessee hastily scheduled another vote of the people, and forced to choose one side or the other, the voters of Tennessee voted 80-20 % to leave the union. Virginia did the same as did North Carolina. Kentucky refused to provide soldiers and declared its neutrality.
North Carolina lost more men in the war than any other state. Can you imagine how differently the Civil War would have been if Robert E Lee, Stonewall Jackson, JEB Stuart, AP Hill, Richard Ewell, Jubal Early, and George Pickett hadn't joined the Confederate Army when Virginia left the union? Hell, Jubal Early was a delegate to the Virginia secession convention and voted not to secede. Only a true bull in the China shop diplomat like Lincoln could have put Jubal Early in Confederate gray.
Anyway, I blame Lincoln for mishandling the diplomacy that led to Virginia, Tennessee and North carolina leaving the union.
In the end, Lincoln always also had the option of just letting the confederacy go in peace.
In conclusion, no the Civil War was not necessary. It could have been avoided I believe but for a president who won with just less than 40 % of the popular vote, but acted like he had earned a landslide mandate.
On edit, the almost 40 % Lincoln got was inflated because South Carolina held no popular election for president in 1860. Assuming there were probably not 1 % of Lincoln votes in the South Carolina voting population, had that state voted, Lincoln's overall percentage would have probably dropped to 37 or 38 %. Just thought that was an interesting aside.
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