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Personally, I think the only way we could have beaten the recall would have been by putting Diane Feinstein on the second ballot. I think that if Feinstein had announced, Arnold would have passed. I don't think it's any coincidence that Arnold waited until after Feinstein announced she wouldn't run before declaring his own candidacy.
If Feinstein had run, it seems more likely that Riordin and not Arnold would have run. And I think it would have been much harder for the Republicans to unite around Riordin as they did around Arnold.
And it's possible that if polls showed Feinstein winning on the second ballot, support for the recall (especially among Republicans) would have dropped and turnout would have been lower.
Of course, I could be wrong. Certainly many Democrats, including Davis himself, thought that putting a popular Democrat like Feinstein on the second ballot would have hurt his chances, because a lot of Democrats would have wanted to replace him with Feinstein. But honestly, it's hard for me to see any other way for Davis to have pulled this off.
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