Cruz got 2,434,776 votes. "No recall" got 3,562,894
votes. If we were to assume that all Cruz votes were also No
votes, the answer is slightly over 2/3.
While I would hazard that the chances of someone voting
"Yes,Cruz" or "No,no one" are relatively
small, looking at cross-correlation of exit polls is the only
way to tell for sure. So I looked at the (LA) Times exit poll
page, and it sucked. There was no real analysis provided.
And I even registered to see that crap. Ugh. Told 'em I
lived in American Samoa, so pbbbt!
So it's over to the media consortium data, to see what the
Gnomes of Zurich were able to concoct this time around. And
it's slightly more thorough, if not in a very legible format.
So here's roughly the numbers you wanted:
---
If these had been the only two candidates for governor on the
ballot today, for whom would you have voted?
total Yes No
Cruz M. Bustamante 38% 11% 89%
Arnold Schwarzenegger 53% 90% 10%
Would not have voted for governor 9% 38% 62%
Recall by Replacement vote
Yes - Bustamante 3% * *
Yes - Schwarzenegger 41% 100% 0%
Yes - Other/No Vote 12% 100% 0%
No - Bustamante 30% 0% 100%
No - Schwarzenegger 4% 0% 100%
No - Other/No Vote 10% 0% 100%
---
These are taken from
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/recallexitpoll.html
And you won't even have to register!
So you can see that the original estimate was about right,
about 2/3 of no voters also voted for Bustamante. (30/44 =~
2/3)
We also can look at the other/no vote sums, and see some facts
emerge. About 22% of the voters voted for "other or no
one", and we know from the returns that McClintock got
13%, Camejo 3%, and all others combined for about 3%. That
leaves about 3% who could have voted either yes or no on the
recall and not voted for a candidate.
That's my take, anyway.