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updated results for the candidate polls I posted on Sunday

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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-03 11:10 PM
Original message
updated results for the candidate polls I posted on Sunday
Note: I think all of these poll threads are still active, if you want to vote, but haven't already voted

Clark 139 votes
Dean 243 votes <- most total responses
Edwards 110 votes
Gephardt 86 votes <- least total responses
Kerry 103 votes
Kucinich 186 votes
Lieberman 134 votes
Mosely-Braun 95 votes
Sharpton 163 votes

Total support percentage (sum of all "vote for the candidate" responses)

Clark 73%
Dean 88%
Edwards 89%
Gephardt 80%
Kerry 83%
Kucinich 91%
Lieberman 67%
Mosely-Braun 92%
Sharpton 89%

most total support: Carol Mosely-Braun! who woulda thunkit? Kucinich and Edwards in 2nd and 3rd, respectively
least total support: Lieberman, followed by Clark

Enthusiastic support (only the "gladly vote for" responses)

Clark 53%
Dean 63%
Edwards 70%
Gephardt 30%
Kerry 54%
Kucinich 75%
Lieberman 6%
Mosely-Braun 67%
Sharpton 58%

Most enthusiastic support: Kucinich, followed by Edwards and CM-B
Least enthusiastic support: Lieberman, by an order of magnitude

Turnoffs (sum of non-supportive responses, with "vote for bush" counted double)

Clark 25%
Dean 21%
Edwards 13%
Gephardt 17%
Kerry 21%
Kucinich 14%
Lieberman 33%
Mosely-Braun 9%
Sharpton 12%

Most negative reaction: Lieberman, leading the pack, once again
Least negative reaction: CM-B, followed by Al Sharpton! Go Al!

+/- difference (Enthusiastic support minus Turnoffs)

Clark 28%
Dean 42%
Edwards 57%
Gephardt 13%
Kerry 33%
Kucinich 61%
Lieberman -27%
Mosely-Braun 58%
Sharpton 46%

Greatest +/- difference: my man, Dennis Kucinich! CM-B and Edwards in 2nd and 3rd
Least +/- difference: Lieberman. Gepster and Clark don't even come close.

The Green endorsement poll: 74 votes

increase support for a Democratic candidate: 15%
decrease support for a Democratic candidate: 13%

which amounts to a very tiny net positive effect
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-03 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. Absolutely Fascinating!
I have never seen a poll like this. I like the idea of isolating each candidate to prevent competing loyalties from muddying the waters. Thank you for putting the time into it and sharing the results.

If you ever do this again, it might be interesting to look for levels of support above simply voting for a candidate gladly. These would include recommending the candidate to friends and family, contributing money, and/or volunteering for the campaign. (I don't how these would be ranked.)

For example, Dean has a lot of detractors, but more people in these "super-support" categories than Carol Moseley-Braun would. It's different from the usual poll question, but it's critical in the election process.
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-03 11:50 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. You raise a good point about Dean
Edited on Wed Oct-15-03 12:00 AM by 0rganism
For whatever reasons, Howard Dean excites people. He solidly wins in the "most total votes" category, and that's worth something, IMHO. The poll format for each candidate were close-to-identical (I used cut&paste, hehe), but nearly THREE TIMES as many DUers voted in the Dean poll as the Gephardt poll. I see him as one of the three most likely to get the nomination.
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leftofthedial Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-14-03 11:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. nice job
interesting results

thanks for the work!
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Terwilliger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:20 AM
Response to Original message
4. kerry and clark threads locked
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. thanks for the heads up
I've put a word in to the admins asking to have them bumped and unlocked.
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RichM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
6. This was a very interesting study -- well worth the effort.
Thanks! :bounce:
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Tinoire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:48 AM
Response to Original message
7. Excellent! And only confirms what we all already know.
Thanks a million !!!!!!!!!!!

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

This is the moment! for us to make that change for the Left. It's Now or Never and the Right knows it.
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Tinoire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 12:49 AM
Response to Original message
8. Kucinich link bad! Can you fix? Thanks!
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-15-03 01:05 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. Sorry 'bout that, here's the fixed Kucinich link
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=523014

Somehow, the link got messed up during copy&paste. This one better work.
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