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We've all heard the standard arguments why Clark is the "best" candidate. Clark polls the best head-to-head against Bush right now. Clark has foreign policy credentials. Clark will somehow make us competitive in the south. Given the dynamic and strategic nature of a political campaign itself, many believe other factors, like campaign experience, fundraising, organization, personality, and message clarity will eventually play more important roles.
But there is at least one scenario where Clark is hands down the best candidate.
When things are going poorly, sharp contrasts and an outsider message generally works well. Suppose the economy turns around, and Bush gets Iraq stabilized. This changes the requirements for winning, particularly in the message department. If Iraq is off the table, North Korea, Iran, and al-queda once again become the central foreign policy issue. Secondly, having a sound record of economic stewardship is less important in an election where things are doing well. Hence if things are looking bright in the summer of 2004, Clark would be a outright better choice, than let us say, Dean or Kerry.
If things are still in the shitter economically and/or with foreign policy in 2004, the jury is still out as to who the better candidate is, myself arguing for an aggressive Dean in such a situation.
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