What About Your State?

[ThomWV]

Thinking about my home state of West Virginia I would go so far as to say that of the existing field of potential candidates only Clark could take West Virginia, but that he could take the state with ease.

Thom

[SahaleArm]

1. WA State

Will definitely go Democrat.

[jono]

4. I think you're right

but I wouldn't say it with such certainty. We live in a bubble on the west side of the mountains.

[SahaleArm]

16. With one of the highest unemployment rates...

in the country, Bush will have a hard time beating a Democrat. West of the cascades is even more Democratic than 4 years ago due to unemployment and demographic changes.

[jsw_81]

46. Remember...

Our state even went for Dukakis when Shrub Sr. was sweeping the nation. There's no way it'll go for Dubya.

[SahaleArm]

47. Agree, here's a good article about Seattle...

and presidential politics.

"But playing well in Seattle does not a presidency make. The Emerald City (formerly the Queen City) has gone gaga over some big-time liberal losers of the latter 20th century."

http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/connelly/138456_joel08.html

[jmowreader]

2. NC? Tossup for right now

We've been voting Republican for decades, but a really appealing Democrat could change that. We have plenty of military bases, and Bush is shafting them all.

[mlawson]

39. I can't tell,

because where I live, bush is hated passionately, at least by people I hang out with. But once you get out of Asheville, I suspect that you see repukes here and there... I don't even know any.

[HFishbine]

3. NC

An uphill battle -- even for our favorite son.

[rucky]

5. Oregon

90% chance of going democrat - no matter who.

Why would WV - with 2 Dem senators - be putting such tight restrictions on their support?

[ThomWV]

12. The West Virginia Secret

Here is what I would say of the state, virtually everyone in the state is registered as a Democrat and the vast majority of them are moderate Republicans at heart. Labor/Union matters aside when you talk to people in this state you do not see the social and ecological concerns that you find in California for example. Its a much different society and the environment is looked at from an entirely different viewpoint as well. In matters of national defense and even the economy this is basically a Republican state. I think as much as anything the predominance of Democrats as registered voters is really a matter of heritage, which is fine, but when it comes time to mark the X in the box that goes right out the window. At least that's how it seems to me. I could be dead wrong.

Thom

[asjr]

6. TN

in my opinion is a tossup, although Edwards or CLark would stand a chance as far as Democrats go.

[laruemtt]

7. have seen a couple of Edwards

bumper stickers around here in huntington (wv) and the usual batch of gas guzzlers with bush-cheney ones. i can profile these people - they're all the most selfish drivers around!

[FarLeftRage]

8. New York

will never go to dimson mccokehead...

[zonmoy]

10. wi

will probably go democrat although I wouldnt be surprised if the rethugs rig the election to make bush and all rethugs win by landslides.

[tedoll78]

24. Isn't..

Senator Feingold up for re-election this year? That could drive-up Democrat turnout.

And the Greens did very well there in 2000, but I doubt they'll get as many votes in WI this time around. That should help.

[LastKnight]

9. SD

The Lost Cause...

i dont think this state will ever wake up, as soon as i get outta high school im outta here... to somewhere more... enlightened

-LK

[PROGRESSIVE1]

11. CT is going Dem!

If the candidate has a strong campaign, I'd say 60% of us will vote for the Dem!

[terrya]

13. Illinois is solidly Democratic.

Whomever the Democratic candidate is, will win Illinois.

[Padraig18]

41. I disagree

If CMB, AS or DK is the nominee, IL will become a new 'red state'.

[SahaleArm]

42. What are the odds of that?

*NM*

[Padraig18]

44. Just sayin'...

:hi:

[last_texas_dem]

14. Texas

I'm sure it is in the bag for Chimpy, though I guess that goes without saying. I figure even if the Democrat wins in a landslide and lots of "red" states go for the Democratic candidate, TX would still go w/ Shrub out of "state pride" or some similar nonsense. (For example, I come from a moderate Democrat-leaning county that voted for the Shrub after only having voted for a Republican candidate once before (Nixon in '72).)

However, if I were to predict the candidate who could best give Shrub a run for his money in Texas it would probably be Gen. Wesley Clark. He's not my favorite, or even in my "top five" when I really think about it, but I still see him as having the best shot of at least making it close here.

[lastliberalintexas]

34. I agree- for now

However, all the demographic trends in Texas are showing us to be Dem leaning in the not so distant future. If we aren't already, we'll be a majority minority state by the next census, and that will definitely help break the repub stranglehold! In fact, many people think that's why the repubs pulled their redistricting fiasco, to try to hold on to power as long s possible.

That said, I think Clark, Dean and Edwards all play well here for a Dem candidate (Clark especially among Texas males- maybe it's the machismo thing?). None will win the state, but the thing to watch is the margin of victory. If a Dem gets more than 40% in this state, the repubs are in deep trouble!


:hi: Richard!

[Mz Pip]

15. CA

After the success of the Recall, I can't predict what CA will do. I think it will stay Dem but who knows? Dennis Miller may run against Barbara Boxer, which makes no sense unless yoou think a RW media whore would make a good Senator.

MzPip
:dem:

[knight_of_the_star]

21. Too true

If Davis had been able to beat the Recall then I would say that we would be going blue without debate, but I'm not so sure now. If we had someone who could bring the public's focus to things like ENRON and BUSH connection it WILL go dem. Even the most die-hard Republican in this state is still pissed over what Enron did to us. If the candidate in 2004 can make that a HUGE issue here, then Bush will sink faster than the Lusitania.

[wryter2000]

17. CA

I don't think Bush* stands a chance here. Any of the top tier candidates could take it.

[wryter2000]

19. With all respect to Mszip

I think the recall was an anomaly. Everyone hated or disliked Gray Davis. Even the people who voted for him.

[Iris]

18. Earlier this week a poll said the majority (51%) of Georgians

are planning to vote for Bush again. 38% said they would vote for a Democrat. Clark led the Dem. candidates.

[fujiyama]

54. That's actually not a huge majority...

Bush won that state by a pretty sizable margin (by over 12%). God, to win that and rub it in Zell's face...Yeah, I know I'm dreamin' but hey ya never know!

[SiobhanClancy]

20. Massachusetts..

tough question....I'll have to think about it:)

[librechik]

22. MY dang redistricted Touch Screen votin' Red State???!!!

sigh.

I thank the lord we still have Degette.

[carpetbagger]

23. I think only Clark and Gephardt can take WV.

Gephardt would neutralize Bush's advantage in the Northern Panhandle. I think there's other people out there who might win the national election, but only for those two would it be with WV.

However, I now live in a certain state that makes West Virginia and West Virginians look like residents of Berkeley (and not Berkeley County, either).

[ThomWV]

25. That's Interesting

The strong workers positon would be assured, and that would bring an awful lot of folks back home to the Democratic party, no doubt about that at all. All in all though I still think Clark could do it here with any of the leaders other than Liberman.

[Zynx]

26. Wisconsin

Here I think Bush has real trouble. Wisconsin is very disatisified with the status-quo and he has fairly low approval ratings here right now. However, an anti-gun Democrat will not win here. Gore carried Wisconsin by a MUCH smaller margin than he should have because of the gun issue. Northern Wisconsin can go heavily Democratic if you run on a pro-gun rights platform. By this criteria, I would say Dean and Clark are the guys you want here. Gephardt would do fairly well too.

[tom_paine]

27. Provided the voting isn't rigged, Clark would CRUSH in PA!

Just my opinion.

And of course the idea that the Bushveiks won't cheat as they did in 2000 and 2002, is somewhat dubious.

The worse things look for them, the more they'll cheat.

[Zynx]

28. I have seen some data on PA and it looks tight.

I think that is to be expected because of the fact that of the voting electorate in PA, 40% are Dems, 40% are Repukes, and 20% are independents. However, if I was a betting man I would put money on the Dems carrying PA.

[OKNancy]

29. Oklahoma - yeah right

I live in the buckle of the bible belt, and that is why I know that the only vote that may mean anything is one for Wesley Clark.

John Edwards has some support here, but Clark, being a neighbor, and with the respect for the military here....maybe, just maybe there might be a chance.

[Zynx]

30. I think we would have to win the nation by 20% to win OK.

If we were competitive in OK, I would just sit back and relax and have a big smile on my face in november of next year.

[OKNancy]

33. I know

but one can be a dreamer.

Did you know that Eugene V. Debs got 33% of the vote here? The state used to be quite progressive. Problem is, too many Texans moved here ( just kidding)

[bobbieinok]

35. also in OK

As far as I can tell, the only democratic candidate who would have any chance at all in OK would be Clark.

And Clark attacks aWol hard enough on 9-11 and national security that it really might get a lot of people in OK to actually think about voting for Clark.

Dean? absolutely NOT. Why? the big religious right/right wing push on the anti-homosexual defense of marriage ammendment

[Kazak]

37. I'm in OK too...

Not much chance of going dem, but I sure do plan to pad the popular vote.

[West Coast Democrat]

31. Oregon--Easily Democratic

especially without Nader

[Pastiche423]

50. Oregon - Democrat

Especially w/having the highest unemployment in the country.

[John_Shadows_1]

32. South Carolina...

... hey, maybe 3004.

[ThomWV]

36. Speculation

There may be more good sense in the Carolinas than many think. That is the impression I get talking to friends in coastal NC and central SC. The people I talk to have an awful lot of respect for the military, and just about everyone has served, so the disgrace on the aircraft carrier did not sit well. That's how its seemed to me anyway.

[Faygo Kid]

38. Michigan must go Dem

No Democratic candidate can win without Michigan, a vital swing state. Too early to say, but if Shrub takes Michigan, it's over. I don't think he will.

[Padraig18]

40. Illinois

Dean, Clark, Kerry, Edwards, Gephart and *maybe* Lieberman could win Illinois. As regards the other 3---- make it a new 'red state'.

[absolutezero]

43. Jersey is Dem

we don't vote for no freakin repukes, ya get me?

unless they're running againt mcgreevey...he's scum

[fujiyama]

55. What's with McGreevey?

He seems pretty corrupt, reminiscent of another NJ Dem that's fortunately out of office...Lautenberg seems like he's doin a decent job though, and Corzine's great.

[greendog]

45. Montana

Democrats have been picking up votes in state and local races over the past couple of election cycles. This, so far, has not translated to many victories. It's still a very Republican state and will most likely remain that way through the rest of the decade.

[Redneck Socialist]

48. NH

I think Clark could do it in the general election. If bushie fucks up really badly Dean has an outside chance, (slim but remotely possible) and Edwards if he gets rolling would stack up favorably next to the chimp.

[quaker bill]

49. Florida BFEE

Can we have a fair election here????

If so I think Dean or Clark would have a pretty good chance.

But who knows, it's Florida 'the rules are different here'

[roguevalley]

51. Alaska is troglodyte repug but I think Clark could give * a run for his

money. I think the vote will be split. I think the dem, Knowles
will win over the repuke appointee daughter of Frank, Lisa
Murkowski. That kind of dissatisfaction coupled with a man like
Clark could bear traction. The rethugs haven't exactly endeared
themselves to the bush and other rural areas and the natives and
Stevens is being investigated with the trophy wife for ethics
violations.

[loyalsister]

52. Missouri

Possibly Dean or Clark could take it. I think there's definitely a chance we could go Dem. Guns are a hot issue here. They got conceal\carry passed, with the help of some Democrats. There area lot of Dem supporters who like their guns here. Neutralizing that issue could turn us blue.
I'm not sure about the other candidates chances. I'm really not convinced that Gep could win here.

[Booger]

53. Kansas

Clark
Maybe Edwards

[TrueBlueDem]

56. Maryland -- Dean ahead

http://www.thewbalchannel.com/politics/2589984/detail.html

Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean continues to lead the field in Maryland among likely March 2004 Democratic primary voters.

Statewide, 23 percent support Dean, 20 percent favor former V.P. nominee Joe Lieberman, 11 percent back recently entered Wesley Clark, 9 percent say they're for Congressman Richard Gephardt, 7 percent support John Edwards and John Kerry, 6 percent are for Reverend Al Sharpton, 2 percent back former Illinois Senator Carol Moseley Braun, and 1 percent pick vocal anti-war Congressman Dennis Kucinich.

The poll discovered that among Democrats, 80 percent (49 percent "very likely"/31 percent "somewhat likely") say that their vote next year will at least to some extent be determined by anger toward Bush, and among black voters, 87 percent claim likewise.

The polling numbers hint that the potential may be in place for this anger to breed and grow depending on what happens between now and next year.