what will Chimpy's approval rating be in a year?

[pstokely]

?

[bluestateguy]

1. Probably about 5 points higher than the vote he will actually poll

That's what all the polls show today. His "vote to re-elect" numbers seem to lag below his approval rating, much like Al Gore's vote lagged 9 points behind Bill Clinton's 57% job approval on election day 2000.

[maveric]

2. 80% after the next terror attack and the dead body of Osama

is produced shortly after that.
People will die and he will be made to look like a hero and a saviour.

[elperromagico]

5. Perhaps

But is it not also possible that a second terrorist attack would have the opposite effect? There are quite a few people who have their doubts about Bush, but support him because of homeland security. A second terrorist attack might cause them to rethink their support of him.

The natural question after a second terrorist attack would seem to be, "What has the Bush administration been doing for the last three years?"

[Resistance Is Futile]

6. Natural questions

The natural question to ask after Sept 11 was "who screwed up so badly that this happened, and can we put them in jail?". Only the fringe minority (that's us, folks) bothered to ask. Don't hold your breath hoping that the same question will be asked after a rerun.

[Resistance Is Futile]

3. 80%+

80%+ minimum. $200 million dollars and control over the media can buy a lot of votes from the uninformed sheeple.

99%+ if he declares that opposing a president in war time is an act of treason and will be prosecuted as such...

[tritsofme]

4. Basically unmoved, maybe a bit lower...

No matter what happens, its going to be a nail biter.

[TruthIsAll]

7. BUsh dropped 40 points in two years, so 10 points lower seems right..

He will be at 40%, but the media will inflate it by 8% and say he is at 48%. Then he will be within striking distance in order for him to Diebold the election.