I give you the Bush Boom!
Don't look behind the curtain folks and don't you dare really look at the numbers! Don't fret about employment because that always LAGS I tells ya! It's a lagger! Mayber we'll put the unsticker on that lagger!
Expect massive economic propoganda from here to the election based on the same accounting standards being applied to the US Gov't that Enron used. Smoke and Mirrors. Expect to hear the phrase "Unemployment is a lagging indicator" about a billion times while thousands continue to be laid off.
You can believe this propoganda about as much as you now believe the Mission was accomplished, Iraq was an imminent threat and they had WMDS.
For a breath of fresh air on all this bullshit, I suggest you read Krugman today, who as usual, put it all in perspective:
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/10/31/opinion/31KRUG.htmlSome key points:
"The big question, of course, is jobs. Despite all that growth in the third quarter, the number of jobs actually fell. And new claims for unemployment insurance, a leading indicator for the job market, still show no sign of a hiring boom.
(By the way, for the last month there's been a peculiar pattern: each week, headlines declare that new claims fell from the previous week; a week later, the past week's number is revised upward, and the apparent decline disappears.)"
--snip--
"This can't go on — in the long run, consumer spending can't outpace the growth in consumer income. Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley has suggested, plausibly, that much of last quarter's consumer splurge was "borrowed" from the future: consumers took advantage of low-interest financing, cash from home refinancing and tax rebate checks to accelerate purchases they would otherwise have made later. If he's right, we'll see below-normal purchases and slower growth in the months ahead."
Now read this:
Consumers Pare Spending in September
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/economy_income_dcKrugman is right on the money.