Which government is going to fall first as a result of Iraq?

[grytpype]

Poll question: Which government is going to fall first as a result of Iraq?

[gristy]

1. Define "fall"

I assume it includes a change in party by regularly scheduled election?

[burrowowl]

5. I think the poster

means which head of gov. is going to get a no confidence vote.

[amlouden]

2. i say france

they're due for another republic

[Endangered Specie]

3. and for another surrender.

[mikehiggins]

4. Blair should be toast

before too much longer.

[ShaneGR]

6. Since Blair isn't up until 06....

I'd say America... although I have no idea how Australian politics operate.

[tinrobot]

7. Blair is always "up"

It's a parliamentary system - as soon as Blair gets a vote of no-confidence, there's an election. He could be out within a few months if the tide turns...

[ShaneGR]

12. It would be unprecedented....

For a sitting Prime Minister to get a no-confidence vote. Barring another MASSIVE scandal, larger than anything before, Blair is NOT getting a no-confidence vote. Ever.

[JackRiddler]

16. huh?!

This is how Callahan was taken down in 79 (Thatcher's accession) and there are others.

More importantly, the LABOUR PARTY can ditch Blair any time, no need of a confidence vote or election.

[rooboy]

9. Australia will have an election second half of 2004...

but the causes of Howard's downfall (if they lose) will be more varied than just Iraq. Health and education will have more effect than foreign policy.

[Rose Siding]

8. Why not Turkey or Pakistan?

Or Egypt or Jordan? Iraq was touted as necessary to "stabilize" the region but it seems to have done the opposite.

[Apollo]

10. i think

I'd have to agree with you on this.

[tinnypriv]

11. I WISH

:(

[Toucano]

13. I misunderstood, I guess.

Aren't these "coalition" countries?

I thought you meant which one would fall out of the coalition. D'oh!

I thought the Japanese would have very little tolerance for it. They're working hard to develop fuel cell technology to lessen oil dependency, so might give up sooner.

[grytpype]

15. No, I mean "fall" as in...

... go out of power.

[salin]

14. perhaps the most obvious is missing...

the installed 'interim' govt in Iraq.