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I believe that this too-early endorsement will divide the DNC, which is already is big trouble. It will cause supporters of the other Dems. to dig in their heels big time, and even consider voting for a Nader or other Independent, should an Independent run. It will NOT (no way, no how) rally Democrats behind Dean before there's even one vote in one primary. Before the supporters of Lieberman or Clark or Kerry see that the votes are probably not there for their guys. Another few weeks....a rally behind Dean with this endorsement might have been possible. But this early? No way, no how. This is now war, in some views.
An endorsement that is too early will cause the others' supporters to froth at the mouth at the indignity of it, backed up by Gore's insensitivity in not tipping off Lieberman and Kerry & Gephardt beforehand (all friends of Gore's).
Gore's endorsement WILL cause some to vote for Dean as the nominee, no doubt. But it will NOT cause anyone to vote for Dean over Bush. And it will have NO effect on how the southern states will vote for Dean (they won't). Gore did not do well with the southern states, losing even his own home state of Tennessee. Dean has trouble with these same states, so Gore's endorsement won't mean much there. It WILL have pull in Iowa and NH, IMO.
You'll see. The Democrats are now divided more than ever because of t his too-early endorsement. And if we're divided, we cannot win over Bush. Dean was probably going to win IA and NY, anyway. If Gore had waited until after those primaries, it wouldn't have alienated as many Democrats. And Lieberman and Kerry may have dropped out, anyway. There were other, better ways to endorse Dean than THIS way. But I guess that's why Gore lost in 2000. He doesn't always do or say the smart thing, and his timing is sometimes off.
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