|
Edited on Wed Dec-31-03 07:31 PM by Dover
Maybe you saw this when it was circulating around here before.
Toffler, in his book Third Wave (which was written in 1980!), might offer a more far reaching perspective than we can fathom while in the midst of change. Just to explain his basic premise, he discusses the three "waves" of civilization -
First Wave = Agricultural Second Wave = Industrial Third Wave = Information Age (or the age of ideas). Toffler saw the big power struggle we would engage in as we made the shift into this new Third Wave, and conceeds it could become quite violent. While he sees class struggles, race, religion, politics, etc. as areas of great tension, he describes all these struggles as being played out on the stage of this larger oceanic shift and the antagonists as being those who attempt to prop up and preserve the Second Wave Industrial society.
Many people, however, ARE ready to move beyond the industrial era into the future. He thinks labor unions, for one, are part of the Second Wave World we are leaving....as is our dependency on fossil fuels, and all things born in the Industrial era that no longer support the change. With such huge change, we are also all forced to struggle with new sets of values and ideologies, of government, law, etc. In short, the changes effect every aspect of our lives, both spiritual and material. He contends we cannot solve emerging problems with old, Second Wave solutions. One small excerpt regarding our current Political Parties: "...this is why we find TWO political wars raging around us simultaneously. At one level, we see a politics-as-usual clash of Second Wave groups battling each other for immediate gain. At a deeper level, however, these traditional Second Wave groups cooperate to oppose the new political forces of the Third Wave. This analysis explains why our existing political parties, as obsolete in structure as in ideology, seem so much like blurry mirror images of one another. Democrats and Republicans, as well as Tories and Labourites, Christian Democrats and Gaullists, Liberals and Socialists, Communists and Conservatives, are all - despite their differences - parties of the Second Wave. All of them, while jockeying for power within it, are basically committed to preserving the dying industrial order. Put differently, the most important political development of our time is the emergence in our midst of two basic camps, one committed to Second Wave civilization, the other to Third. One is tenaciously dedicated to preserving the core institutions of industrial mass society - the nuclear family, the mass education system, the giant corporation, the mass trade union, the centralized nation-state, and the politics of pseudorepresentative government. The other recognizes that today's most urgent problems, from energy, war, and poverty to ecological degradation and the breakdown of familial relationships, can no longer be solved within the framework of an industrial civilization. The lines between these two camps are not yet sharply drawn. As individuals, most of us are divided, with a foot in each. Issues still appear murky and unconnected to one another. In addition, each camp is composed of many groups pursuing their own narrowly perceived self-interest, without any overarching vision. Nor does either side have a monopoly on moral virtue. There are decent people ranged on both sides. Nevertheless, the DIFFERENCES between these TWO subsurface political formations are enormous. The defenders of the Second Wave typically fight against minority power; they scoff at direct democracy; they oppose efforts to de-massify the schools; they fight to preserve a backward energy system; they deify the nuclear family, pooh-pooh ecological concerns, preach traditional industrial-era nationalism, and oppose the move toward a fairer world economic order. By contrast, the forces of the Third Wave favor a democracy of shared minority power; they are prepared to experiment with more diret democracy; they favor both transnational and a fundamental devolution of power. They call for a crack-up of the giant bureaucracies. They demand a renewable and less centralized energy system. They want to legitimate options to the nuclear family. They fight for less standardization, more indivualization in the schools. They place a high priority on environmental problems. They recognize the necessity to restructure the world economy on a more balanced and just basis. Above all, while the Second Wave defenders play the conventional political game, Third Wave people are suspicious of ALL political candidates and parties (even new ones), and sense that decisions crucial to our survival cannot be made with the present political framework." - Alvin Toffler, The Third Wave
|