<<Nine years ago, members of the World Trade Organisation agreed not to take each other to court over farm subsidies. But the “peace clause”, as this agreement is known, expired on December 31st. Will its end mean the beginning of a trade war?>>
<<There are certainly a lot of subsidies to shoot at. The OECD, a club of rich nations, reckons that the agricultural subsidies of its members cost consumers and taxpayers about $230 billion in 2001 alone. The European Union, the United States and Japan were to blame for about 80% of those transfers. The typical milk producer in the OECD makes half its money from selling milk, and the other half from milking its government. Rice and sugar producers do the same.
So what? If profligate governments want to play sugar daddy with their taxpayers’ money, surely that is their sovereign right? What business is it of the WTO? The problem is that subsidies distort trade. Export subsidies do so by design, encouraging firms to increase their share of foreign markets. Other kinds of handout distort trade indirectly. By making production cheaper, they encourage more of it. This oversupply depresses world prices or accumulates unsold, in the wine lakes and butter mountains that used to characterise European agriculture. Slowly, the EU is moving away from paying farmers to overfarm. It wants to “decouple” subsidies from production.
Countries that import food (many of them poor) benefit from the largesse of rich-world subsidies, but agricultural exporters suffer. They are no longer willing to suffer in silence. The 17 countries of the Cairns Group, which includes Australia, Brazil and Argentina, have campaigned long and hard against export subsidies. But as long as the peace clause remained in place, they could not mount a legal challenge. The EU had hoped to wangle an extension of the peace clause earlier this year at the WTO’s ministerial meeting in Cancún, Mexico. But the Cancún talks fell apart when the G22, an ad hoc coalition of developing countries, proved to be feistier than anticipated. The G22 remains in contentious mood. Indeed, as one EU official told the Associated Press: “In this sort of atmosphere, everyone might start throwing things at each other.”>>
http://www.economist.com/agenda/displayStory.cfm?story_id=2296891This may be a reality, especially given the Mad Cow outbreak! Nice mess you've gotten us into *!
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