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Aw crap, I got to go to work in a couple of minutes, but this felt like a big deal at 5:30 this morning while I was showering. It might be a spoiler, so I'm typing it in white letters and you have to click and drag to read it. But in thinking about what the Smoke Monster might be, I was going over in my head things he'd said like "My mother was crazy and that affected my whole life." And then it hit me... If he had a mother, then Smokey had a father too. And who else could be Smokey's father, except Jacob? And not only is Jacob the smoke monster's father (they both have these supernatural powers, after all), but he's probably the Devil. After all the time they've been saying that it's a great evil trying to get out into the world. Only, evil already exists in the world. Why? Because Jacob, like the Devil, is free to walk the earth already. Right?
And furthermore He's keeping a cork on hell, but he keeps on luring people onto the island. Why? I think it's just for his amusement. All this time, the Others (and Widmore for that matter) have thought they were serving on Jacob's side. But Jacob's purpose isn't to have people on his side. His purpose is to lure people to the island so they can fight among each other and then kill each other off. The Others are as much a bunch of dupes and suckers in Jacob's plans as the Losties of 815 are. Jacob's the reason women can't have kids there on the Island (since they obviously could back in the Dharma 70s--in fact they end up with supernatural powers like Miles did). This was Jacob's way of tricking the Others into a conflict with the survivors of Flight 815. They're forced to kidnap the children of others in order to keep their numbers up. That's how Jacob got them to instigate a conflict with the crash survivors, kidnapping them, doing experiments on them, making them build runways... all because Jacob needed them to have something to fight over.
Jacob's son, the Smoke Monster, probably the Devil's son, is just tired of the bullshit. The saddest part about him is that he probably already IS home right there at the Cork of Hell. And why does Jacob do all this? I think it's his nature. As the Devil said in Paradise LOST... (Thump. Bad Robot!) "Myself am hell."
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