2004 upset predictions!

[UrbScotty]

Let's be gutsy!

Pick an upset House, Senate race, and Governor's race in 2004! Plus, pick a state in which the expected electoral vote winner gets upset. Bonus: Pick an upset in a primary state as well!

House: Jennifer Dunn (R-WA) will get knocked out.

Senate: Kit Bond (R-MO) will get taken out by Nancy Farmer.

Governor: Adios to Craig Benson (R-NH)

Electoral votes: Gore couldn't win his home state, but Bush won't repeat in Tennessee (11 electoral votes).

Primary (ready for this one?): I predict Dick Gephardt will actually win Iowa.

[AWD]

1. Keep in mind....

....I'm gonna watch this thread to see who my REAL friends are!

;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-) ;-)

[unblock]

2. the only upset in your race

will be your opponents getting upset at how badly they lost to the honorable representative jeff seemann!!


'zat good 'nuff?

[liberalnurse]

9. Excellent analysis!

I feel the change in the air.

[Renew Deal]

3. You are running against Kucinich right?

j/k Who are you running against? I know you have the will to win. I hope you can do it.

[goobergunch]

4. Ralph Regula (R-Canton) [OH-16] (n/t)

[Renew Deal]

6. Time to get that old fart out.

He is on his 16th term. You know what to do.

[JohnKleeb]

8. a D on D matchup? strange lol, and AWD is like in south ohio I think

DK represents Cleveland.

[Kolesar]

20. AWD is from Canton. He is a "Canton Bulldog"

Canton is a few miles south of Akron, which is 30 miles south of Cleveland.

[Renew Deal]

5. I think there could be dem sweeps across the board.

If we get a large turnout we could lose the presidency but pick up bigtime in congress and governorships. I think we will win the GE with the right candidate.

[flamingyouth]

7. I am sorry to say, but I don't think Dunn is going away in '04

Although I wish she would...

[UrbScotty]

12. Hence the title of the thread...

2004 UPSET predictions.

An 'upset' is when someone loses with hardly anyone expecting it, right?

[elfin]

10. Feingold will be toppled by Darrow

If Russ pulls it out, it will be because the Dem nominee (hopefully Clark) pulls him along. Wisconsin is trending to the right, despite our governor's win. Darrow is a wealthy car dealer with a highly recognized name statewide - and Tommy Thompson will be by his side, I bet.

[UrbScotty]

13. Let's remember, how do candidates usually win elections?

(except in Florida in 2000)

a) By spending more money than their opponents
b) By having more money than their opponents
c) By receiving more votes than their opponents

I have some bad news to break to the Freepers trolling through DU:

Money Does Not Win Elections; Votes Do!

If money won elections, Darrow woul be cruising (no pun intended) along to victory.

[Zynx]

17. Feingold will beat Darrow by a surprisingly large amount.

The challenge in '98 was much more formidible than Darrow. I predict Feingold wins by ten points atleast.

[Redneck Socialist]

11. If the dems can field a decent candidate...

Benson is gone. I will go out on a limb here and predict he will face a primary challenge this year.

[mndemocrat_29]

14. My upset predictions

House-John Kline loses reelection in Minnesota to For. State Sen. Deanna Wiener.

Senate-Incumbents Kit Bond and Jim Bunning are ousted in a terrific year for Democrats in the Senate, losing to Nancy Farmer and Jonathan Miller, respectively.

Governor-Utah elects Scott Matheson, Jr. by a small margin, joining Kansas, Wyoming, and Oklahoma in the states with Democratic governors list.

President-Ohio, after years of going Republican, goes Democratic, sending Bush packing.

Primary-Clark receives second place in New Hampshire and goes on to win South Carolina.

[UrbScotty]

15. Actually, Clinton won Ohio twice

I wouldn't say it's been going Republican for years.

[xJlM]

19. The state is

Look at the morons who get elected in Ohio. Voinovich? DeWine? My representative is David Hobson, a two bit punk. And I'm not even going to start on that liar Taft.

Ohio went for Clinton in 1992, because (like the rest of the nation) we were sick of Bush and all he represented. Perot helped, as well. By '96 things had started to turn around some, and I think people wanted to give President Clinton a chance to finish what he started. Bob Dole is not an inspiring repug anyway.

[Kolesar]

21. The Ohio Democratic party is ineffectual

I was looking for a polite way to say "stinks". The previous party head was Leland, he has been gone for more than a year. I think the new guy is White. I guess he has not made an impression yet.

[NewJerseyDem]

16. My upset predictions

House: Democratic St. Senator Matt Conneally wins in NE-1, an open seat where Doug Bereuter is retiring

Senate: Harry Reid loses to State Treasurer Brian Krolicki (I'm trying to be nonpartisan)

Governor: Republican North Dakota Governor John Hoeven is defeated for reelection

Electoral votes: Bush wins Maine

Primary: I also say that Gephardt will win Iowa

[Zynx]

18. Here I go:

House: I don't know specific races, but we win a net gain of three seats.

Senate: A pick up in OK

Governor: A pickup in Montana

Electoral Upset: Dems win Colorado

Primary: Clark finishes 2nd in NH, setting up a Dean/Clark brawl until super tuesday when it will be decided(I ain't calling that though)

[Hippo_Tron]

22. Here's some seriously unrealistic ones...

Dems pick up House seats in Texas

Dem presidential candidate wins Texas

Dem picks up Zell's senate seat in Georgia

Katherine Harris gets outsted? Well actually it can't be that hard, all we have to do is take a picture of her when she's not wearing her makeup.

[GBD4]

24. some more unrealistic ones

Cynthia McKinney, running as a Dem, wins GA Senate seat

Byrd decides to run for WV governor

Bob Smith, unable to win the FL Senate primary as a carpetbagger, returns to NH and defeats Gregg in a nasty primary

when Shelby runs for reelection, he switches back to Democrat

Patton runs against Bunning in Kentucky Senate race

following the Lautenberg success in coming out of retirement, Metzenbaum runs against Voinovich

[GBD4]

23. ok...

House - freshman Ginny Brown Waite of FL-5 is defeated by the district's former respresentative, Democrat Karen Thurman, who was defeated in 2002 due to nasty redistricting by FL Repubs
Senate - Hoeffel defeats Specter in Pennsylvania
Governor - Martz loses reelection in Montana
EV - explosive population growth of the more moderate northern Virginia region throws 13 more electoral votes to the Democrats
Primary - Graham wins FL thanks to write-ins (j/k) ok, Kucinich finishes second in Iowa (I won't say who's in 1st or 3rd)

[goobergunch]

25. Martz isn't running (n/t)