Pew Poll 43-38 Bush v. Dem interesting Demographic on subgroups

[CMT]

The new Pew Institute Poll out today has some encouraging news for Dems. In a match-up of Bush vs. a generic Democrat Bush receives only 43% nad the Democrat 38%--only a five point margin and for an incumbent president to be polling only 43% is certainly bad news. In the previous Pew Poll in April Bush had a 48/34 percent re-elect--encouraging then because it was at the height of his war blitz.

Here are some demographics:

Men continue to be a problem. In April men favored Bush by 48-35, in the most recent poll he actually does better among men--49/32. Not good news.

However women favor a Dem over Bush by 44-37 percent (in April women favored a Bush re-election by 48-34). Women over 50 give Dems a solid 10-point lead--45-35 percent.

Young voters are now the most Democratic. 18-29 year old voters favor a Dem over Bush by 48/37 percent. Those 30-49 years old favor Bush 46-34 percent. 50-64 year olds favor Bush narrowly by 43-40 (this is a major turnaround for Dems, in April this age group favored a Bush re-election by 54-27 percent). Those 65 and over are split 39-38 for the Democrat. So Dems do best among the very youngest voters and the very oldest.

Bush continues a solid hold on his Republican party (really what is keeping him as strong as he is)with GOP voters favoring Bush by 88-4 percent. Democrats favor the Democratic Nominee by 78-9. Independents are split favoring Bush 34-33 percent (down from 42-33 in April).

Conservatives favor Bush by 66-22. Moderates favor the Democratic nominee by 40-35. Liberals favor the Democrats 73-10. How can you call yourself a liberal and vote for Bush???

White voters favor Bush 48-33 percent (down from 55-28 in April). Nonwhite voters favor the Democrats by 65-17.

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=190

[Davis_X_Machina]

1. How can you call yourself a liberal and vote for Bush???

Be a good frightened liberal, like Mr. Ashcroft and Mr. Ridge want...

The lady next door falls into the category nicely.

[msanger]

2. anybody for a running a liberal republican

It seems to me that when Clinton went up against Bush, Perot had a great impact in peeling people away from Bush-one. As I recall, a lot of folks moved to Perot, and then to Clinton.

If we could get a liberal republican to challenge bush-two in the primaries, this might start to peel off some of that 88%.

OR

If we can find a meme that will allow folks to feel like a real republican and vote against bush-two.

[pw]

3. Undecided voters

seem to be on the increase.

I think someone should collect some good quotes from revered republicans to show what a travesty Twit is making of his party's former ideals.

[last_texas_dem]

4. Lincoln Chafee in '04!

Just trying to think of a liberal Republican who I'd like to see go up against * and peel away some votes. The problem with Chafee is that he'd probably take more votes away from the Democrats than the Re:puke:s! Truly liberal Repugs are a rare breed these days. I do think John McCain would be a great spoiler if he were to run- though, despite the fact that he's nowhere near being a "liberal", I can still see him peeling away as many Democrats as he would Repugs simply because so many Repugs hate him. Maybe Traficant should run... haha

[NewYorkerfromMass]

5. THANK GOD FOR YOUTH!!!!

18-29 year olds: I LOVE YOU!!!! There is hope.

BTW: I see nothing but good news in this. Independents are split NOW before the campaign!!!

[UrbScotty]

6. Now I know why why young people are portrayed so negatively

...in the media: On average, they're more Democratic than Republican.

[janx]

7. This is very good news considering that

we are looking at stats based on a generic Dem. Once we have a live, breathing nominee, things should be even better.

[Michigander4Dean]

8. Especially if that nominee is you-know-who!

;-)

[jiacinto]

9. White Working class voters

We need to target blue collar white men and working white women. The gap among white voters is way too high. At least it's not 2-1, but it is still too large.