Dean supporters have mostly already decided on their candidate. Clark will pull supporters away from all the other candidates, at much higher rates, and make it easier for Dean to win the nomination, IMHO. Also, Clark doesn't have the name recognition that other candidates have, yet. Unless he gets that name recognition, Dean could beat Clark on name recognition alone.
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Under the Clinton scenario, Kerry would fall into the second tier of Democratic hopefuls, favored by just 16 percent of voters. All the other Democratic candidates would be relegated to the single digits.
Dean’s support among independent- and reform-minded voters seems intact with or without Clinton in the race while Kerry would find his base of support among traditional Democratic voters threatened, according to Herald pollster R. Kelly Myers.
"If Hillary Clinton suddenly expressed some interest in the race, the biggest potential loser is Kerry," Myers told the Herald. "She doesn’t eat into Dean’s lead at all ... As of today, Dean is the only one who could hold his own (against Clinton)."
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http://www4.fosters.com/News2003/July2003/July_28/News/reg_pol_0728a.aspA new Prez Preferece poll
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=190456Clark V Dean
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=196331