Bush's Re-elect number under 50% in South Dakota

[CMT]

A new Mason-Dixon Poll indicates that support for George W. Bush is weakening in South Dakota. While Bush is still favored to carry the state he may have some work to do.

49% of South Daokotans said they would vote to re-elect Bush
26% said they would definitely replace Bush with a Democrat
22% said they would consider a Democrat.

Bush's approval rating is still good at 61% but it is down 12-points since September of 2002. Meanwhile those who feel Bush is doing a poor job has risen from 8% to 20%.

Tom Daschle has a 57/21 percent approval rating and in a head to head race with 2002 GOP senate candidate John Thune Daschle wins narrowly 48-46 percent.

http://www.mason-dixon.com/news_text.cfm?news_id=163

[jos]

1. Thune might run for Janklow's seat in the House

Thus, sparing him and Daschle of tough races.

[markus]

2. Wow.

Up here in East Idaho, uh, The People Republic of Free-Huntia, uh, I mean, North Dakota, those would be astounding numbers.

That is not a good picture for "Bush Red America" heartland. I really think a war gone bad will kill his presidency, unless he takes drastic measures.

Which is a thought that scares the hell out of me.

[CMT]

4. what impresses me is that while the Dem nominee may not win

South Dakota if we can push Bush down to say 55% statewide (from over 60% in 2000) it would be a good sign for Dems nationwide.

[Cha]

3. Good for Tom Daschel!

:kick:

[goobergunch]

5. WOW

If * is hovering around 50% in South Dakota, then he's going to have a hard time being competitive elsewhere.

This will probably rise eventually, but this is a positive sign.

[ButterflyBlood]

6. now this is one hell of a suprise

and very good news. though i highly doubt the Dem can carry SD if Bush gets below 60% there he's in very big trouble.

[sungkathak]

7. so much for poll

I don't believe the poll, either being bad or good. Intelligence controll media. Poll is a tool they used to manipulate public's sentiment.
In San Jose Mercury News, the poll said

vote approve ..Arnold..... Bustamante
8/10 ................25% ........15%
8/16 .................18% ........25%
8/23 .................23% ........18%
8/24..................22% .........35%
How can the figure fluctuate so much in two weeks?

Arnold said he wouldn't campaign at first, but announced to be candidate at last moment. It's a tactic to lull the rival, let them not have enough time to prepare a rightful candidate against him. This time, it could be the same tactic.

It also can be a tactic focused on Davis. Bustamante is not so popular like Arnold. They try to divert voters' notice to second choice and make Davis lose in first choice.

It's amazing they now increase the number in a dramatical way. How easy they manipulate a poll and, the sentiment of public.

[jiacinto]

8. South Dakota will remain Republican in 2004

Ultimately I think Bush still wins the state next year. But it does mean that Bush might have to fight for the state.

[ISUGRADIA]

9. Will probably be a lot closer

than 2000 when Gore did not break 40%. But I still think Bush will win. Probably more along the line of 1988 when Bush the dad beat Dukakis 51% to 47% or so.

[ButterflyBlood]

10. 53% - 47%

but back then the Dakotas weren't quite so heavily Republican. There were a lot more farmers and the people were pretty populist (This is also where a lot of their Dem congressional delegations come from, they're relics from that era.) but now the farms and small towns and dissapearing and people are moving into the major cities. This is turning the states to the right economically and social liberals are leaving the states (like myself). At this rate they'll be just like Nebraska or Utah in a decade or so.

[dusty64]

11. Interesting, encouraging,

yet not surprising. What has ANY of the repukes done to benefit anyone but their donors. I think just about every red state is in play for 2004, electronic "voting" machines may be their only hope.