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OK, when will one of the 10 candidates have 1700+ delegates locked in?

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ed_vadem Donating Member (388 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 10:16 PM
Original message
Poll question: OK, when will one of the 10 candidates have 1700+ delegates locked in?
Edited on Fri Sep-19-03 10:33 PM by ed_vadem
this IMHO this could (or should)) be the first brokered Democratic National Convention since whenever.

I.E there might not be a nominee on the 1st ballot in July 2004 at the Fleet Center on Wedneday night. If a 2nd ballot is held, it will be one of the most interesting nights in a long time

What is YOUR choice of the following

NOTE My guess is there will be 3500 voting delegates and 1700 will be needed on the fist ballot.
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arcos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 10:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. huh?
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burr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 10:27 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I pick the top three and the bottom two...
was this a recall poll? :wtf:
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ed_vadem Donating Member (388 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 10:28 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. i was editing replies
..
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burr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 10:31 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I see...
Edited on Fri Sep-19-03 10:32 PM by burr
if we don't have a likely nominee by March, we will certainly have one by June!
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blackcat77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 10:29 PM
Response to Original message
4. I think it will be resolved at the convention
Between Gephardt, Dean and Clark. Two of them will get together and oust the other for a majority, but I'm not sure which two yet, let alone who the nominee will be.
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tsipple Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 11:17 PM
Response to Original message
6. I Believe The Magic Number is 2149
That's 50% plus 1 of the voting delegates, if I'm not mistaken.
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Brucey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-19-03 11:48 PM
Response to Original message
7. I think we will have a nominee by June.
Earlier than that will be difficult with so many in the field.
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tsipple Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-20-03 09:18 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. Media Climate Not Favorable to That
Enormous pressure for trailing candidate to drop out, and the money dries up fast. June is way too late, IMHO.
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Brucey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-20-03 10:31 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. Yes, you might be right afterall.
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RUMMYisFROSTED Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-20-03 09:22 AM
Response to Original message
9. Middle of March.
• 3/02: Super Tuesday (Much of the NE, New York, and California)
• 3/09: Super Tuesday, (Florida, Texas, and the South)
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goobergunch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-20-03 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
11. After Super Tuesday
If we don't have one by after 9 March, then it'll be a brokered convention.
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