Zogby Poll-Clark and Dean neck and neck...

[Nicholas_J]

Zogby America Poll. Sept. 22-24, 2003. N=527 likely Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.4.
.

". . . If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were , for whom would you vote?"
9/22-24/03 9/3-5/03
% %
Wesley Clark 12 3
Howard Dean 12 16
John Kerry 7 13
Dick Gephardt 6 8
Joe Lieberman 5 12
Al Sharpton 4 2
Carol Moseley Braun 4 2
John Edwards 2 3
Dennis Kucinich 1 1
Bob Graham 1 -
Other 3 3
Not sure 43 38

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm

[Bucky]

1. Gag

It's too soon for polls. Screw it. It's 4-5 months before most voting will begin. Let's let the candidates parade on stage, talk on sundry stumps, meet diners at diners, maul the Spanish language, and practice being comfortable in front of black people. In December this stuff will start to matter.

Right now we have 10 candidates and I still want to hear from all of them.

[MercutioATC]

2. In his defense (and you won't see me come to his defense often)

Nick just presented poll numbers. No commentary, no suggestions of candidates dropping out. Seemed like a fair post to me.

[Nicholas_J]

4. What is most interesting

Is the increase in "NOT SURE"

ANd the latest Fox polls

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Sept. 23-24, 2003. N=364 registered Democrats nationwide.

.

"I'm going to read you a list of names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in the next election. If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, to whom do you lean at this time?" Names rotated

9/23-24 9/9-10
% %
Wesley Clark 20 n/a
Howard Dean 13 14
John Kerry 10 17
Dick Gephardt 9 6
Joe Lieberman 9 16
John Edwards 5 4
Carol Moseley Braun 2 3
Bob Graham 2 3
Al Sharpton 2 2
Dennis Kucinich 1 2
Someone else/Other (vol.) 5 7
Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 21 26


http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm

[MercutioATC]

5. 1 poll does not make a trend, but I'll agree with you,

the increase in "not sure" does make for some interesting possibilities. Unfortunately, we'll have to wait to see what it really means...

[cprise]

3. Let's all sing a round of:

"Splitting the Base"