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Ah, but what northerners they were, Kennedy and Roosevelt! (Don't forget Truman in 1948. He's from Missouri, which isn't north or south really.)
LBJ was a southerner (Texas). He assumed the presidency after Kennedy's death, so no election there. Did great in 1964, but a chimpanzee would have defeated Goldwater. Then Vietnam, 1968, and... Well, not good. Couldn't even run. Sank Hubert Humphrey from Minnesota, a Midwesterner. Decent man, LBJ, but boy what a cock-up.
Californian Nixon won in 1968, then again in 1972 against Midwesterner (and South Dakotan) George McGovern.
Jimmy Carter (Georgia) won in 1976, but he screwed up, too. Set in motion the Republican conservative revolution, and what a disaster that's been ever since. Our best ever ex-president, though. (Californian Ronald Reagan beat Carter in 1980.)
Midwesterner and Minnesotan Mondale couldn't beat Reagan in 1984. No one could. Not even Gary Hart, who was the strongest candidate available besides Mondale.
Massachusetts's finest, Michael Dukakis, lost in 1988 to Connecticut Yankee (and pseudo-Texan) George H.W. Bush.
Bill Clinton, from Arkansas, did very well in 1992 and 1996, the latter defeating Kansan Bob Dole. Clear win for the southern candidate.
But Al Gore, the southerner from Tennessee, "lost" in 2000. That's our most recent experience with southern Democratic nominees.
So, there is one conclusion. Do not nominate Democrats from Minnesota! :-) Another possible conclusion is that southerners can occasionally get elected but then screw it up royally for the northerners. :-)
Vermont has a pretty good track record, with two presidents: Chester Arthur and Calvin Coolidge. New York has a really good track record: Martin Van Buren, Millard Fillmore, Theodore Roosevelt, and Franklin Roosevelt. (Dean was born in New York, I believe.) Arkansas has but one: the one-of-a-kind Bill Clinton.
With respect to Eisenhower, everyone already knew him. World War II, the biggest and baddest war ever, against the Nazis and the Germans. Also arguably the most just war ever fought by the United States. (The War of 1812 is not bad there, either.) With all due respect to General Clark, a lot of people were asking, "Who?" Many still are. No one knows much about him. That's true of lots of Democrats of course, which is precisely my point.
And you misunderstood my electability comment. You can't determine electability until you run the experiment. So you won't know whether Clark, Dean, or anyone else is electable until November, 2004. And you can't objectively prove electability beforehand.
Take the case of southern candidate Al Gore. Booming economy, smart guy, unbelievable resume. No one could predict he was unelectable. That he'd run away from Clinton and make a bunch of campaign mistakes. That the Supreme Court would intervene.
Or take the case of Bill Clinton. He was definitely unelectable when he was exposed by Gennifer Flowers as an adulterer in the 1992 campaign, right?
The good news is that voters get to decide this stuff, not Wesley Clark, not Howard Dean, and not political hacks. We get to figure it out. And then we run the experiment in November, 2004.
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