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New NH Poll analysis, Kerry behind Dean by only 6 points

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DJcairo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 07:02 PM
Original message
New NH Poll analysis, Kerry behind Dean by only 6 points
According to this article Kerry moved up from their previous poll but no numbers are cited.

A push in the polls for Senator John Kerry's bid for the White House. He's moving up while Howard Dean and Wesley Clark aren't moving much at all in New Hampshire. That's the key finding of our exclusive 7News-Suffolk University Poll. 7's Andy Hiller crunches the numbers.
Howard Dean is still on top in New Hampshire, but John Kerry may still topple him. Our poll of likely democratic primary voters shows Dean with 25 percent, Kerry with 19 percent, Wesley Clark with 11 percent and 23 percent undecided.

All the other democratic candidates are way back in single digits and may already be out of contention…

Prof. David Paleologos, Suffolk University Pollster
"It's a two person race because 50 percent of the people have already chosen Dean or Kerry and with that many candidates in the field, no matter how you cut it, those two candidates will prevail, one or two."

And our poll shows how Kerry could move up to number one from number two. He has cut Dean's head-to-head lead since our last poll last month and is now viewed more favorably than Dean by likely primary voters…

Prof. David Paleologos
"John Kerry is back, it's clear… He hit his lowest point in September and he's on the rebound."

Dean's support has been flat while Kerry's has grown. At best that means Dean has lost momentum at worst -- that he's peaked…

Prof. David Paleologos
"He's still ahead. He still probably would win but he doesn't have momentum on his side."

And neither does Wesley Clark. The general roared into the race, but now sounds of silence surround his campaign in New Hampshire…

Prof. David Paleologos
"Clark has only improved one percent over the last month. There are three months left. At that clip, he cannot catch the front runners. It's really a two person race now."

Don't miss the connection, when Wesley Clark was hot, Kerry ran cold. And now that Clark's cooling off, Kerry is heating up. Also heating up are questions about President Bush's integrity that could turn the race upside down in New Hampshire and the nation.


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LuminousX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 07:07 PM
Response to Original message
1. Don't forget the Reference Link (nt)
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
2. Looks like a dupe
of the poll cited in this thread: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=108&topic_id=64460&mesg_id=64460

The other poll cited here frequently the last couple of days is this one posted on the CNN website, showing a larger Dean lead: http://edition.cnn.com/2003/ALLPOLITICS/10/21/elec04.prez.nh.poll.ap/index.html

So who knows? Both are likely primary voters, I believe.

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Punkingal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-03 09:12 PM
Response to Original message
3. Dupe.....
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