New Iowa Zogby : Dean-26 Gep-22

[unfrigginreal]

Dean, Gephardt Battle for Lead in Iowa
Associated Press

WASHINGTON - Howard Dean and Dick Gephardt are battling for the lead in the Democratic presidential race in Iowa as they have for the last few months, according to a poll released Tuesday night.

Dean, former governor of Vermont, was at 26 percent, and Gephardt, a Missouri congressman, was at 22 percent in the Zogby poll, a difference within the margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Dean and Gephardt were very close in an October Zogby poll in Iowa as well.

<snip>

John Kerry, a Massachusetts senator, was at 9 percent; John Edwards, a North Carolina senator, was at 5 percent; and retired Gen. Wesley Clark was at 4 percent. Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich and Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman were at 1 percent. Carol Moseley Braun and Al Sharpton were at 1 percent or less.

http://www.bayarea.com/mld/mercurynews/news/politics/7398959.htm

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Breakdown

Dean 26(21)
Gephardt 22(22)
Kerry 9(9)
Edwards 5(7)
Clark 4(7)
Kucinich 2(1)
Lieberman 2(5)
Moseley Braun 1(1)
Sharpton 0.3(0.4)
Not Sure 28(26)

Also has favorables at the link:

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=762

[La_Serpiente]

1. whoa?

What happened to Kerry?

[annxburns]

2. Man, that is still ...

... a boatload of undecided? What are Iowa voters waiting for? Surely they have seen enough of the candidates ....

Might be a good opportunity for Edwards to move up ...

[unfrigginreal]

5. AP reporter Mike Glover was on CSPAN tonight

and he said that there was a real battle shaping up for third between Edwards and Kerry. Said that Edwards was quietly ramping up advertising spending. He thought that Edwards might gain some real traction in the race if he could pull out 3rd in Iowa and a win in SC.

[Khephra]

3. This poll must be the reason Lieberman was so low tonight

I can remember when he was in the upper teens.

[Freddie Stubbs]

4. He is no longer campaigning in Iowa

and is concentrating on later states.

[Freddie Stubbs]

6. Still within the margin of error

But still good news for Dean nontheless. Dean will have much more resources to pound the heck out Gephardt rather than the other way around.

[RevolutionStartsNow]

7. Nice gain for Dean

Picked up some points there on Gep.

[CMT]

8. excellent news

confirming another recent poll which shows Dean moving slightly out in the lead. Still too close for comfort.

[Le Taz Hot]

9. Dean and Kucinich show the only gains

If I recall correctly, this pretty much continues the trend of the last few Iowa polls.

[Fleshdancer]

10. The high undecided voters are starting to piss me off!

First of all, I'm a little jealous that Iowa gets all the damn attention anyway....I'm big enough to admit that.

Second, how in the hell can any Iowan be undecided???!! How can this number grow??? Do they not participate in the process? Do they not watch television? Read the papers? I don't care who they choose, just choose someone for cryin' out loud. That bugs me to no end.

[Freddie Stubbs]

12. As long as Dean's support keeps growing

and the other candidates support shrinks, I will be happy.

[9119495]

14. Get used to being pissed

I think people like to support a winner so they are undecided until the last minute then they go caucus for the front runner. Also, relatively few caucus so the undecideds may be planning to stay home on that cold January night. In any case, I would say Dean, Edwards, and Kerry are picking up hear no matter what the poll says. I also think Clark made a big mistake by skipping Iowa as many seem to like him but feel as though they can't get to know him or that they were snubbed (which is a bit weak I think).

[mndemocrat_29]

11. 28 percent Undecided is a lot

And undecided increased? I wish they'd have a poll where undecided wasn't an option, to see what would happen. Does anyone have a recent poll with undecided not an option?

[no name no slogan]

13. It's still wide open

I know some folks who've been doing voter ID calls for Iowa, and they're number one response of late is still undecided with around 40%-50%. Of course these numbers are unscientific, but they still prove the point that this race is still wide open, despite what the pollsters and various campaigns have said.

Also, 90% of people in this country still cannot name one of the nine candidates running for the Dem nomination, even with all the media attention, soundbites and ads. That still tells me there's a lot of room left, and that most of these polls are still little more than a measure of name recognition.

This one's not going to be over for a loooong time. It may even go as far as the convention. :D