The national debt is more than eight and a quarter trillion dollars. In the first five months of the fiscal year, we paid almost 174 billion in interest on that debt, about seven times the cost of fighting in Iraq over the same period. Last year, we paid 350 billion in interest, about 15 percent of the federal budget.
During eight years under Clinton, the U.S. added 1.6 trillion to the national debt. It's skyrocketed during five years under Bush -- increasing by 2.6 trillion dollars, a rise of about 45 percent.
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Add to that almost $2.2 trillion dollars in consumer debt. But that doesn't include debts secured by real estate. We don't know what that number is today, but the most recent Household Finance Survey, for 2001, put it at almost $5 trillion dollars. Throw in around a trillion in corporate debt -- give or take -- and, wow, we're talking about some large numbers (you can't add up all these figures for a total because there's some overlap).
But what's interesting is the justification for whistling by this particular graveyard. If I had a nickel for every time someone's said, "Luckily, Chinese and Japanese central banks won't pull the plug on the dollar because it would ruin their own economies," I'd have … quite a few nickels.
While I agree with the premise -- central banks as well as the IFIs would have to do everything they could to intervene if the dollar were being punished badly -- there are two reasons why this doesn't give much comfort. First, it assumes that there are forces that are firmly in control of financial markets. While the Bretton Woods institutions went a long way towards a set of tools to stabilize markets, nobody is really in control. Governments hold only 42 percent of the national debt; individuals and private institutions hold the rest. Investors aren't known for looking at the big picture, and they can panic in a pack.
http://gadflyer.com/flytrap/index.php?Week=200610#2604