Consumer confidence didn't improve much this month and spending stalled in February, adding to evidence of a slowdown in U.S. growth that may make the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase this week one of the last for a while, economists said. Two measures of March consumer confidence to be released this week barely rose from three-month lows, according to the median forecasts of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy, was unchanged in February, the weakest performance in six months, economists forecast a separate report will show. Coming after reports last week that showed new home sales and business investment weakened in February, the data will strengthen the view that the economy is slowing, economists said. Fed policy makers, meeting for the first time under the leadership of Ben S. Bernanke, will pause after raising the target interest rate this week and again in May, said economist Brian Bethune.
``The Federal Reserve is converging on a more appropriate level'' for the target rate, said Bethune, an economist at Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts. After its May meeting, ``the Fed will then pause to assess the breadth and depth of the slowdown.'' Confidence as measured by an index from the New York-based Conference Board rose to 102 this month from 101.7 in February, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News ahead of March 28 report. Confidence slumped last month as Americans worried about prospects for job and income growth.
Shaky Confidence
The University of Michigan's index of consumer sentiment, due March 31, is projected to rise to 86.9 from 86.7 in February, according to the survey median. Shaky confidence may make it less likely that spending will rebound much this month after stalling in February. Personal spending was unchanged in February after five months of increases, according to the median survey estimate ahead of the Commerce Department's March 31 report. Spending rose 0.9 percent in January.
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