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Please know, Mercutio, we've "known" each other a long time. I respect you and your opinions. I am simply sharing mine, not denigrating yours.
10 years ago, I would have absolutely agreed with you. 100% and no doubts.
But then came the 2000 Stolen Election, when the Bushie Tyrants' mask of phony benevolence has been dropped far more than it ever has before. (we must be getting closer to the Endgame for them to do that, I think)
Thus, I just can't think that way anymore. I can't think in "Conventional Wisdom" anymore, because "Conventional Wisdom", now that it has been fully Bushigandized, I believe is quite literally insane.
Just a few of the predictions, far superior to anything one can find in "Convetional Widsom" and all FULLY archived here on DU in the years 2001-3 and forward (but most of them were made in that early time fram in which my eyes first opened):
Made about JULY of 2001 as an iron-clad prediction, and repeated numerous times in numerous threads since: When Bushler leaves office in 2009 (itself a 100% accurate prediction) our nation will have $10,000,000,000 National Debt.
Sounds easy, in retrospect. Try doing 8 years BEFORE the fact. Try having the balss to say it, not with a caveat, but as an IRONCLAD FACT.
Try getting 80% of it correct in those predictions made as IRONCLAD 100% WILL HAPPEN FACTS.
How 'bout this one, made first around MAY 2002 also repeatedly archived on DU and I have witnesses who can confirm I said these things also when I said them As soon as we 'win' in Iraq, we will return torture to Iraq.
I was actually too tepid in that prediction. I NEVER imagined it would be so easily to market Torture as National Policy to the American Subject Populace, and so I thought it ould be Saddam's Torturers rehired or some CIA-trained SAVAK-type Iraqi Goons, not our army troops, doingthe torturing.
I should have known better, eh? But I fell into "Cable TV Conventional Wisdom" for a minute on that one and could not think outside of it.
We AMERICANS, so easily accepting of Torture as National Policy? NEVER!
:rofl: See what happens when one thinks in Cable TV Conventional Wisdom? WRONG 90% of the time, not correct 80% of the time, I have observed. Look at all the Cable TV Iraq Predictions. 90-100% wrong.
That, in it's own way, ae results we can learn from, too. 90-100% wrong, means it might be wise to stop listening and thinkng in that way, demontsrably proven to be nothing but and endless tape loop of incorrect analyses and predictions. NOTHING BUT WRONG. Am I exaggerating about the Iraq "Predictions"?
Anyway, so there are two concrete examples. I have more, actually a dozen more or so, also made years in advance whihc have now 100% come to pass in the form Ienvisioned or WORSE, like the torture.
I recognize this is anecdotal evidence. I also recgonize that you have been around long enough, Mercutio, to hve actually seen these things with your own eyes that I typed in DU so long ago.
Which at the time, you no doubt mocked or gently chided me for being :tinfoilhat: . That will be archived, too.
The whole point of this was that NONE of these stunningly correct predictions were not possible until I STOPPED thinking in Conventional Wisdom, in Cable TV Pundit-Think. I am not perfect, not even close, but my correct long-term predictions are about 80% of them, and only the most extreme ones were "wrong", though in the long run they may still prove prescient.
80% correct. Predictions made months and even YEARS in advance sometimes. Archived at DU and other places on the web, and entirely verifiable, if necessary.
The funny thing is, I am a scientist by profession, but it was my scientific thinking that got me here.
Results. Rigorous self-challenging and debunking makes that which it does not kill, stronger.
Much to my surprise over the last 30 years, many times I went to debunk the "Lib'rul Conspiracy Theory Moonbats", thinking "I'll show these crazies that they hurt our Party with this nonsense," I found it was Conventional Wisdom being debunked.
Like my successful predictions that arose out of my change of basic assumptions based on Cable TV Conventional Wisdom, this happened not once, but at least a dozen times.
My scientific mind kept at it. Questioning "the crazy", trying to debunk it with cold logic and fact. Most every time, the effort ended up in forcing me to question Cable TV Conventional Wisdom AGAIN.
When I finally began to accept where the data was pointing me, and I switched Cable TV Conventional Wisdom OFF, on my TV and in my soul, suddenly I could make all these predictions years in advance!
Results, you see. Observable data. Analyses of potential futures by using the past as template.
I am still a scientist by profession, Mercutio, and I still hold the scientific method in high regard, even when I am trying to connect dots out of imperfect data, and I always try to keep in my the old scientific truism, "Correlation does NOT necessarily mean causation."
I could still be wrong about my overall thesis, I understand that.
However, some of my results are on display for you, just a sampling, and I stand by what I have said.
I hope you won't flame or insult me. I have tried to be very respectful in my reply to you.
But I have proved to my own satisfaction that Cable TV Conventional Wisdom is both a lie (most of the time) and quite insane (ALL of the time between celebrity worship, Infoganda, and Punditocracy). (which is worrisome, what do nations driven insane usually eventually DO to themselves)
SOMETHING beyond the BIG LIE of Cable TV Conventional Wisdom is going on.
You may disagree to disagree, but I stand by what I have seen, my correct predictions, all roughly 12-15 of them, made well in advnace like the two I mentioned.
I stand by my words.
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