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Crewleader Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-12-09 01:30 PM
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Decoupling From Reality
by Jim Kunstler

Back in the golden age of American Flyfishing -- say around 1913 -- when technical innovation in a prissy and recondite sport was joined by a new leisure class emanating from the white glove canyons of Wall Street, some new-minted guru of angling came up with method for whipping up action on a trout stream when no fish would rise to the fly. It was really lame. The idea was to artificially create the illusion of a mayfly hatch -- that moment when the larva of, for instance, Ephemerella subvaria, the Hendrickson mayfly, swims to the surface, molts, and dries its newly unfurled adult wings in the brisk spring air. This is famously the moment that drives trout crazy, and when it occurs en masse, with zillions of mayflies "hatching" off the water, a trout feeding-frenzy can ensue. The idea with the artificial hatch was to pitch a fake Hendrickson fly made of feathers and fur in so many furious, rapid casts that the dumb trout lurking below would get suckered into a feeding frenzy -- and, shortly, into the buttered frying pan, with a nice "tuxedo" of cornmeal and bacon.

In the annals of flyfishing, this gambit has been all but discredited, except among the mentally sub-normal who sometimes venture over from the lumpen realm of crank-and-plug fishing in search of improved social standing. But the tactic naturally transferred into the precincts of finance, where it reappeared in such disparate practices as Ponzi schemes and Keynesian "pump-priming." Now it is being employed at a scale never seen before, on an economy that is the equivalent of a great dead river poisoned by the toxic effluents of the same society that inhabits its banks (no pun intended). The dark secret of this river is that the fish who once ran there are all dead.

Much has been made in recent weeks of "animal spirits" and the "psychology of markets" in the hopes that mere attitudes might overcome the laws of thermodynamics. Math wizardry has now yielded to self-esteem building, an understandable sequence of events, since trafficking in the mutant spawn of Wall Street algorithms has ended up completely demoralizing the United States of America. Sadly, this is a little like subjecting a man who has just watched his house burn down to twelve segments of Oprah shows about the triumphal secrets of weight loss.

http://jameshowardkunstler.typepad.com/clusterfuck_nation/2009/05/decoupling-from-reality.html#comments

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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-12-09 01:33 PM
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1. You gotta love Kunstler. He even thinks Keynes was a fraud.
:rofl:
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ixion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-13-09 06:51 AM
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2. JHK, calling it like it is
Always an excellent read.
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wuvuj Donating Member (874 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-13-09 07:31 AM
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3. This is your captain speaking....
...please....everyone....get back aboard ship. The holes have been patched and the engines are started....and the pumps are running full blast. That mean old iceberg has been pushed away. The band is playing and dinner will be served at 5PM as usual.

DO NOT be fooled by appearances....the ship is in fundamentally good shape. Just a few patches here and there....and we're good to go.

Baby come back, you can blame it all on me
I was wrong, and I just can't live without you....


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