Jul 21, 2009, 1:34 p.m. ESTOil's year-to-date rally defies declining demand
Commodity gains 50% this year, in spite of 19-year high in U.S. stockpiles
Declining demand in the U.S., the world's biggest oil consumer, has pushed up total inventories of crude oil, gasoline, and other petroleum products to the highest level in 19 years, an analysis of energy data showed. U.S. demand in the first half of 2009 was the weakest in a decade, while global consumption fell in the second quarter to the lowest level in four years.
The increasingly bearish fundamentals are raising concerns over the rally in oil prices. While some analysts say oil's gain was helped by hopes for an economic recovery, others believe it's speculation that has pushed oil higher, and a major correction could pull prices back to around $50 a barrel.
Trading patterns in oil futures, jumping to almost $150 a barrel last year, only to fall back to below $40 this spring before rising again to $70, have raised alerts in the Obama administration, which is preparing new rules to curb exotic derivative trading in financial markets.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-rises-despite-declining-demand