Weekend Edition
March 26 - 28, 2010 Corporate Whines
The Looming Trade War With China
By MIKE WHITNEY
A war of words has broken out between China and the United States and the pundits are predicting that it will end in a full-blown trade war. The Obama administration thinks that China is manipulating its currency to gain an unfair trade advantage and increase its exports. China's Premier Wen Jiabao's adamantly denies the charge. "I do not think the renminbi is undervalued" he says. "And we are opposed to countries pointing fingers at each other or taking strong measures to force other countries to appreciate their currencies....If the United States uses the exchange rate to start a new trade war, China will be hurt. But the American people and US companies will be hurt even more."
President Obama has tried a number of things to get China to break the dollar-link and let its currency appreciate, but, so far, nothing has worked. The president met with Tibet's Dalai Lama, in an attempt to publicly embarrass Premier Wen so that he'd rethink his exchange-rate policy. But the meeting only angered China and further strained relations between the two trade giants. The administration also announced plans to sell high-tech weapons to Taiwan, knowing the transaction would ruffle feathers in Beijing. China threatened to retaliate, but refused to budge on the central issue.
This week, a bipartisan group of senators joined the fray by introducing legislation that will require the president to take "reciprocal action" against any "country that uses its foreign exchange policy as a countervailing subsidy." The bill is clearly aimed at China and increases the likelihood that Obama will be forced to put punitive tariffs on Chinese products and start a trade war with America's biggest creditor.
But will it really happen?
http://www.counterpunch.org/whitney03262010.html