Moody's warns Greek default almost certain

[Eugene]

Source: Reuters

Moody's warns Greek default almost certain

By Ingrid Melander and George Georgiopoulos

ATHENS | Mon Jul 25, 2011 1:31pm EDT

(Reuters) - Moody's cut Greece's credit rating further into junk territory on Monday and said it was almost certain to slap a default tag on its debt as a result of a new EU rescue package.

It was the second rating agency to warn of a default after euro zone leaders and banks agreed last week that the private sector would shoulder part of the burden of a rescue deal that offers Greece more cash and easier loan terms to keep it afloat and avoid further contagion.

"The announced EU program along with the Institute of International Finance's statement implies that the probability of a distressed exchange, and hence a default, on Greek government bonds is virtually 100 percent," Moody's said in a statement.

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Greece now has the lowest rating of any country in the world covered by Moody's, which, like Fitch last week, said it would review Greece's rating after the debt swap is completed.

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Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/07/25/us-markets-ratings-greece-idUSTRE76O0I420110725

[Left NYC]

1. Why is Moody's allowed so much influence

despite systematically overrating junk financial instruments before the crash?

[golfguru]

2. The mortgage backed securities you are talking about..

were not known to be junk 4 years ago. So you are right, none of the rating agencies caught on to their risk. If the housing bubble was still on going, those securities would still be rated highly!

Whereas Greece's debt situation is well documented.