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Italy pushed to the brink by ECB fiscal orthodoxy

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CHIMO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 07:37 PM
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Italy pushed to the brink by ECB fiscal orthodoxy
Some of us have been warning for months about the crisis scenario that is accelerating today in Europe. In particular, I have noted that the European authorities were pushing Italy down a dangerous path, in similar fashion to what they did to Greece. The formula is deadly: force budget tightening on an economy that is already shrinking or on the edge of recession. This shrinks the economy further, causing government revenue to fall and making still further tightening necessary to meet the target budget deficit. The government's borrowing costs rise because markets see where this is going. This makes it even more difficult to meet the targets, and the whole mess can spiral out of control.

Wednesday, financial markets reacted violently to this process in Italy, with yields on both ten-year and two-year Italian government bonds soaring past 7%. Let's do the math.

One year ago, Italy could borrow at 4% for ten-year bonds. Today, these yields went as high as 7.7%. Multiply this difference, 3.7%, by the €356bn ($491bn) that Italy has to refinance over the next year. That's €13.2bn ($18.2bn) in additional borrowing costs, or about 1% of Italy's GDP.

ECB authorities think they have already done too much by buying $252bn of eurozone bonds over the past year and a half. But compare this to the US Federal Reserve, which has created more than $2tn since 2008 in efforts to keep the US economy from sinking back into recession. The ECB could put an end to this crisis by intervening in the way the US Federal Reserve has done in the United States. But they continue to insist that this is not their role. That is the heart of the problem, and until this policy is reversed, it is likely that the European economy will continue to worsen.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/nov/09/italy-pushed-brink-ecb-fiscal-orthodoxy
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Vincardog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 07:43 PM
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1. The European economy will continue to worsen as long as they keep on paying off the Fraudsters and
financial parasites. Enough Let the Banks FAIL. Charge those guilty of fraud and jail them.
Break up the rest and make them responsible to the local people.
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Philosopher King Donating Member (269 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-10-11 07:51 PM
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2. The entire world's economy will continue to suffer until politicians discover that money
cannot function as money, unless it is backed by legitimate unexpended assets.
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golfguru Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-11-11 03:15 PM
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3. Everything is peaceful in Italy today
after they passed a bill entailing austerity! It is easy to talk austerity, just wait till it hits the masses.
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