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It's hard for me to believe that the oil companies wouldn't have seen these downgrades coming for a while now. Understanding oil sources, geology, etc, is their entire life.
So: imagine the possible topic of discussion at a certain infamous secret energy-policy meeting with a certain potty-mouthed Vice President, circa spring, 2001.
A bunch of oil-barons around the table with the VP, and they are all talking very seriously about Peak Oil, and how maybe it's a lot closer than the general public is aware of.
The President and VP also happen to be oil-barons. The culture of Big Oil literally runs in the family of these two. They are incapable of thinking outside the box. Any alternative to Oil is just the ravings of tree-huggers smoking marajuana in their minds. What's the only possible answer?
In their world, the only possible answer is for America to somehow establish control over as much oil-producing territory as possible.
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